Prediction for match Famalicao — Casa Pia

Who is the favorite in the Famalicão vs Casa Pia match?

The Primeira Liga clash between Famalicão and Casa Pia is set for February 23. According to the 1X2 odds, Famalicão is the favorite: a win is priced at 1.65, a draw at 3.95, and a Casa Pia victory at 5.77. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 58.70% for a Famalicão win, 24.52% for a draw, and 16.78% for Casa Pia. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.06, and for under 2.5 goals - 1.83. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.97, no at 1.75. Individual totals: Famalicão over 1.5 goals - 1.82, Casa Pia over 0.5 goals - 1.65.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Famalicão had 50% possession, averaged 1.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Casa Pia, over the same period, had 35% possession, received 3.2 yellow cards, committed 13.4 fouls, and had 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Famalicão lost to Sporting Lisbon 0-1, beat ABC 3-1, and lost to Gil Vicente 0-5. Casa Pia, in their last three games, defeated Arouca 3-2, drew with Nacional 0-0, and beat Porto 2-1. The last head-to-head between the teams was on September 21, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw.

How many goals can we expect?

In their last five matches, Famalicão went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Casa Pia played over 2.5 goals in four out of five games. The average number of goals in Famalicão's matches is 2.8, while Casa Pia's is 3.4. In terms of goals scored: Famalicão - 1.4, Casa Pia - 1.6, and goals conceded - 1.4 and 1.8 respectively. By halves: Famalicão never went over 1.5 goals in the first half but did so three times in the second half. Casa Pia went over 1.5 goals three times in the first half but only once in the second. Famalicão most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (42%), while Casa Pia scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (36%). In terms of goals conceded: Famalicão concedes most often between the 46th and 75th minutes (50% in each of the two intervals), while Casa Pia concedes in the closing stages, 76th-90th minutes (33%). Considering both teams often play over 2.5 goals, the average goal figures exceed 2.5, and Casa Pia is particularly prone to high-scoring matches, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.06 seems justified.

Corners: figures and possible bets

Famalicão averages 2.8 corners per match, Casa Pia - 2.2. In the last five matches, Famalicão went over 9.5 corners twice, Casa Pia four times. The line for total corners closest to the average sum is 5.0, but there is a market for over 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.79, under 9.5 - 1.89. Famalicão is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.41. Given Casa Pia's stats for going over 9.5 corners, it makes sense to consider the over on corners, especially if both teams are active in attack.