Prediction for match Famalicao — Moreirense

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Portuguese Primeira Liga on April 10, Famalicão will face Moreirense. The odds for a Famalicão victory are set at 1.62, a draw at 4.01, and a Moreirense win at 6.03. Probability-wise: Famalicão - 59.79%, draw - 24.15%, Moreirense - 16.06%. Famalicão is considered the favorite, as confirmed by both the odds and the distribution of outcome probabilities. The noticeable difference in odds reflects the current balance of power between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Famalicão has an average possession of 54%, while Moreirense has 48.4%. Average yellow cards: Famalicão 1.8, Moreirense 1.4. Fouls committed: Famalicão 12.2, Moreirense 11.2, and offsides: 1.4 for Famalicão against 0.2 for Moreirense. Famalicão's last three matches: 04.04.2026 - Porto vs Famalicão - 2-2, 21.03.2026 - Famalicão vs Nacional - 1-0, 14.03.2026 - Vitória Guimarães vs Famalicão - 1-2. Moreirense's last three encounters: 04.04.2026 - Moreirense vs Braga - 0-1, 21.03.2026 - Moreirense vs Arouca - 0-1, 15.03.2026 - Porto vs Moreirense - 3-0. Their last head-to-head match was on 29.11.2025 and ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have an average of 1.8 goals per game. Famalicão scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 0.6, while Moreirense scores 0.4 and concedes 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Famalicão and 1 out of 5 for Moreirense. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Famalicão and twice for Moreirense, while in the second half, it happened once for Famalicão and never for Moreirense. Famalicão most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Moreirense scores between the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each). In terms of goals conceded, Famalicão is most vulnerable from the 46th to 60th minute (50%), and Moreirense from the 61st to 75th minute (75%). Overall, Famalicão appears more reliable in defense and more effective in attack, while Moreirense struggles with finishing chances. Moreirense's low scoring rate of 0.4 goals per game and only one match with over 2.5 goals in their last five games supports a bet on Famalicão's victory. Famalicão regularly finds the net, while Moreirense's defense concedes 1.4 goals per match, reinforcing the choice for a Famalicão win.

Corner Bets

Famalicão averages 6 corners per game, while Moreirense averages 3.8. In their last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for both teams. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.10, and under 9.5 is 1.70. Considering both teams' averages and frequency, over 9.5 corners seems justified. A bet on Famalicão winning the corner count is also worth considering based on their average. Overall, the match promises to be active in terms of corner kicks, especially from Famalicão.