Prediction for match Famalicao — Tondela, 25.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 25th in the Primeira Liga, Famalicão faces Tondela. The odds for a Famalicão victory are 1.66, a draw is priced at 3.92, and a Tondela win is at 5.71. The outcome probabilities are: Famalicão 58.34%, draw 24.70%, Tondela 16.96%. Famalicão is considered the favorite, but the close odds between a draw and a Tondela win suggest a potential contest. The total goals market is intriguing, with under 2.5 goals at 1.80 and over 2.5 goals at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes - 2.01, no - 1.72. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.16, X2 at 2.30, and 12 at 1.28. Individual team totals: Famalicão over 1.5 - 1.87, Tondela over 0.5 - 1.71. Second half totals: over 1.5 - 2.25, under - 1.60.

Team Results and Statistics

Famalicão's last three matches: 18.01.2026 - Santa Clara 0-1 Famalicão, 04.01.2026 - Alverca 1-0 Famalicão, 27.12.2025 - Famalicão 2-3 Estrela. Tondela's recent games: 18.01.2026 - Tondela 0-1 Braga, 11.01.2026 - Moreirense 1-0 Tondela, 03.01.2026 - Tondela 3-1 Arouca. In their last head-to-head on 16.08.2025, Tondela lost to Famalicão 0-1. Over the last five games, Famalicão averages 50.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 18.2 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. Tondela averages 41.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3.4 offsides. In these five matches, Famalicão commits more fouls, while Tondela receives more yellow cards and is caught offside more often.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Famalicão vs Tondela

In a five-game series, both teams average a total of 2.6 goals per match. Famalicão scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8 on average; Tondela scores 1 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Famalicão has 2 out of 5, Tondela 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: Famalicão 2 out of 5, Tondela 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half: Famalicão 2 out of 5, Tondela 3 out of 5. The most frequent interval for scoring is the 76-90 minute mark (33%). Famalicão concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (40%), while Tondela concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Despite both teams' average total goals being close to 2.6, Famalicão's scoring capability is low, and Tondela is not highly prolific either. Considering the frequency of under 2.5 goals (Famalicão 3 out of 5, Tondela 2 out of 5) and Famalicão's low scoring, betting on under 2.5 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams average 4.2 corners over the last five matches. For over 9.5 corners: Famalicão 3 out of 5, Tondela 3 out of 5. The line for total corners is optimally placed at 9.5: over 9.5 - 1.70, under 9.5 - 1.96. Famalicão is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.36. Considering the average activity from corner kicks and the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 total, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, although the balance between the teams in this aspect is quite even. Additionally, note that Tondela is caught offside more often (3.4 per match compared to Famalicão's 0.4), which may impact the attacking dynamics and the number of set pieces.