Prediction for match Fatih Karagümrük — Fenerbahce

Match Analysis: Fatih Karagümrük vs Fenerbahce

In the Turkish Süper Lig, Fatih Karagümrük will face Fenerbahce on March 13. The odds show a clear advantage for Fenerbahce: their victory is priced at 1.43, a draw at 4.78, and a win for Fatih Karagümrük at 7.02. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Fatih Karagümrük - 13.55%, draw - 19.91%, Fenerbahce - 66.54%. This setup indicates strong confidence in Fenerbahce, who are considered the main contenders for three points in this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük has secured 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last three results: 08.03.2026 - Gaziantep vs Fatih Karagümrük - 1-1, 27.02.2026 - Trabzonspor vs Fatih Karagümrük - 3-1, 22.02.2026 - Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor - 0-0. Fenerbahce, in their last five encounters, has achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last three results: 08.03.2026 - Fenerbahce vs Samsunspor - 3-2, 01.03.2026 - Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce - 2-2, 26.02.2026 - Nottingham Forest vs Fenerbahce - 1-2. On average over five matches, Fatih Karagümrük had 44.4% possession, committed 14.2 fouls, 2 offsides, and received 1.4 yellow cards. Fenerbahce had higher possession at 58.6%, 9.6 fouls, 1 offside, and 1.8 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Fenerbahce defeated Fatih Karagümrük 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Fenerbahce appears more prolific in scoring with an average of 3.4 goals per match over five games, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8. Fatih Karagümrük's figures are lower: 2.4 goals on average, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. In a series of five matches, Fatih Karagümrük had over 2.5 goals in 2 games, under in 3. For Fenerbahce, it was the opposite: 4 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals, and only 1 under. By halves, Fatih Karagümrük had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in 5 games, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Fenerbahce had over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 times out of 5, and 2 out of 5 in the first half. Regarding goal intervals: Fatih Karagümrük scores most frequently between the 46th and 60th minute (38%), and concedes most from the 76th to 90th (50%). Fenerbahce peaks in scoring towards the end - from the 76th to 90th minute (43%), and concedes mostly from the 16th to 30th (30%). Given Fenerbahce's consistent scoring and Fatih Karagümrük's defensive vulnerabilities, expecting at least three goals in this match seems logical. Over 2.5 total goals is priced at 1.74.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, over five matches, Fatih Karagümrük earns 6.6 corners, Fenerbahce - 7. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Fatih Karagümrük 2 out of 5, Fenerbahce 3 out of 5. The nearest corner total with odds is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.02, under 9.5 at 2.15. In terms of corner outcomes, Fenerbahce is the favorite (1.22). Statistics show both teams regularly win many corners, making a bet on over 9.5 corners quite justified. Additionally, Fenerbahce's high activity in this area is noteworthy.