Prediction for match Fatih Karagümrük — Kocaelispor

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Turkish Süper Lig on December 14, Fatih Karagümrük will face Kocaelispor. The odds for a Kocaelispor win are 2.45, a draw is priced at 3.20, and a victory for Fatih Karagümrük is at 3.22. In terms of probabilities: Fatih Karagümrük win - 30.12%, draw - 30.30%, Kocaelispor win - 39.58%. Kocaelispor holds the highest chance of winning, but the gap between the teams is not significant. The match is expected to be closely contested, with no clear favorite according to the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük has an average ball possession of 44.6%, with 2.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Kocaelispor has higher possession at 50.6%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. Recent matches for Fatih Karagümrük: 07.12.2025 Gençlerbirliği - Fatih Karagümrük 3-0, 30.11.2025 Fatih Karagümrük - Beşiktaş 0-2, 22.11.2025 Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrük 1-1. For Kocaelispor: 07.12.2025 Kocaelispor - Kasımpaşa 0-0, 28.11.2025 Kocaelispor - Gençlerbirliği 1-0, 23.11.2025 Göztepe - Kocaelispor 0-0. In their last head-to-head on 21.07.2025, Fatih Karagümrük and Kocaelispor played to a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük has an average total of 2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.4. Kocaelispor has an average total of just 0.6, scoring 0.4 and conceding only 0.2. Over five games, Fatih Karagümrük had over 2.5 goals once, while Kocaelispor never reached that mark. In terms of halves, Fatih Karagümrük had over 1.5 goals once in the first half and three times in the second half, while Kocaelispor never exceeded 1.5 goals in either half. Fatih Karagümrük most often scores between the 61st-75th minutes (43%) and concedes evenly in four intervals after the 30th minute (25% each). Kocaelispor most frequently scores in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Considering the low scoring nature of both teams and frequent unders in totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.77 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük averages 4 corners, while Kocaelispor averages 4.8. In the last 5 matches, Fatih Karagümrük had over 9.5 corners 4 times, while Kocaelispor did so 2 times. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (8.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.61, under 8.5 at 2.15. In the outcome for corners, Kocaelispor is favored with odds of 1.81. Expect a minimum of 8-9 corners combined from both teams, with Kocaelispor having a slight edge in activity.