Prediction for match Fatih Karagümrük — Samsunspor

Match Analysis: Fatih Karagümrük vs Samsunspor

In the Turkish Süper Lig on 22.02.2026, Fatih Karagümrük will face Samsunspor. The odds for a Samsunspor victory are 2.06, a draw is priced at 3.54, and a win for Fatih Karagümrük is at 3.80. Based on probabilities, Samsunspor has a 47.08% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.40%, and Fatih Karagümrük has a 25.52% chance. Samsunspor is highlighted as the favorite according to the odds and percentages, reflecting the balance of power ahead of the match. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but the most intriguing bet is on goal scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fatih Karagümrük played as follows: on 16.02.2026, Kasımpaşa defeated Fatih Karagümrük 3-2, on 07.02.2026, Fatih Karagümrük won against Antalyaspor 1-0, and on 31.01.2026, Göztepe beat Fatih Karagümrük 2-1. Samsunspor's last three matches were: on 19.02.2026, Samsunspor defeated Shkëndija 1-0, on 13.02.2026, Antalyaspor beat Samsunspor 3-1, and on 07.02.2026, Trabzonspor defeated Samsunspor 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 21.09.2025, Samsunspor won against Fatih Karagümrük 3-2. Over the last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük had 45.8% possession, averaged 2.2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 3.6 offsides per match. Samsunspor had 59.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These numbers show the difference in playing style and discipline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Fatih Karagümrük stands out in terms of scoring: in their last five matches, they had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, with an average total of 3.2 goals per game and 1.2 goals scored. Samsunspor, on the other hand, shows lower scoring - only 2 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring an average of 0.6. In terms of halves, Fatih Karagümrük had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 games and in the second half in 3 out of 5. Samsunspor had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 1 out of 5 games and in the second half in 2 out of 5. Fatih Karagümrük most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (33%), and concedes evenly in three segments: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (29% each). Samsunspor scores evenly in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 (33% each), but 71% of their conceded goals occur between the 76th and 90th minute. Given Fatih Karagümrük's high scoring rate and Samsunspor's instability at the end of matches, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.09 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

On average, Fatih Karagümrük earns 3.6 corners per game, while Samsunspor earns 6. In the last five matches, Fatih Karagümrük exceeded 9.5 corners in 1 out of 5 games, while Samsunspor did so in 2 out of 5. The line for total corners offers: over 9.5 at 1.98, under 9.5 at 1.74. Samsunspor is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.60. Considering both teams average around 9.6 corners per match, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially if Samsunspor continues to play actively on the wings. A bet on Samsunspor winning the corner count is also worth considering given their average.