Prediction for match Augsburg — Hoffenheim

Match Analysis: Augsburg vs Hoffenheim

The Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim is scheduled for 10.04.2026. According to the odds: a Hoffenheim win is priced at 2.15, an Augsburg victory at 3.40, and a draw at 3.88. Based on probability percentages, Hoffenheim has a 45.74% chance of winning, Augsburg 28.92%, and a draw 25.34%. Hoffenheim is the favorite in this matchup, but the gap isn't overwhelming, adding intrigue to the betting options.

Team Performance and Statistics

In their last five matches, Augsburg's stats are: possession 41.4%, average yellow cards 2, fouls 10.8, offsides 2.8. Hoffenheim, in the same period, has possession at 59.6%, yellow cards 1.2, fouls 11.8, offsides 1.4. Augsburg's last three games resulted in: 04.04.2026 - Hamburg vs Augsburg - 1-1, 22.03.2026 - Augsburg vs Stuttgart - 2-5, 14.03.2026 - Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg - 2-0. Hoffenheim's last three matches ended: 04.04.2026 - Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 - 1-2, 20.03.2026 - RB Leipzig vs Hoffenheim - 5-0, 14.03.2026 - Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg - 1-1. In their head-to-head on 29.11.2025, Hoffenheim hosted Augsburg and won 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The average goals in Augsburg's last five games is 3.2, and for Hoffenheim, it's 3.4. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, while Augsburg concedes 2 and Hoffenheim 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: Augsburg had 2 out of 5, Hoffenheim 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Augsburg, 3 times for Hoffenheim. In the second half, Augsburg had 3 instances of over 1.5, Hoffenheim 2. Goal intervals: Augsburg often scores between 46-60 minutes (44%), Hoffenheim between 16-30 minutes (44%). Conceding intervals: Augsburg frequently allows goals between 16-30 minutes (38%), Hoffenheim in two periods: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (25% each). Overall, both teams tend toward high-scoring games, with average totals surpassing 3, and frequent over 2.5 goals. Thus, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is a solid option.

Corner Totals Analysis

Average corners over five games: Augsburg 3.8, Hoffenheim 7.2. Combined, that's 11 corners per match. Augsburg exceeded 9.5 corners 4 times out of 5, Hoffenheim 3 times out of 5. For total corners of 11, there are two bets: over 11 at 2.31, under 11 at 1.54. Hoffenheim is favored in corners with odds of 1.73. Given the high average and frequent over 9.5 corners, considering over 11 is logical, but the odds for under 11 are more cautious. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set pieces, especially given Hoffenheim's activity in this area.