Prediction for match Augsburg — Hamburger, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Augsburg vs Hamburger

The key Bundesliga fixture this round features Augsburg hosting Hamburger. Bookmakers have priced Augsburg's win at 2.39, while Hamburger's victory is at 3.00, and a draw is at 3.80. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 41.23% for an Augsburg win, 25.93% for a draw, and 32.84% for a Hamburger victory. In this scenario, Augsburg is considered the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't large, promising an unpredictable battle for the three points.

Team Results and Statistics

Over their last five matches, Augsburg averages 47.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Hamburger averages 53.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Augsburg's last three matches: 09.11.2025 Stuttgart 3-2 Augsburg, 31.10.2025 Augsburg 0-1 Borussia Dortmund, 28.10.2025 Augsburg 0-1 Bochum. Hamburger's recent games: 08.11.2025 Hamburger 1-1 Borussia Dortmund, 02.11.2025 Cologne 4-1 Hamburger, 28.10.2025 Heidenheim 0-1 Hamburger. Their last head-to-head on 07.07.2021 ended 2-2, with over 2.5 goals scored.

Goals Based on Match Statistics

In the last five games, Augsburg had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. Hamburger had a similar record: over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times. In first halves, Augsburg had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Hamburger had over 1.5 goals in 1 out of 5. In second halves, Augsburg had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, and Hamburger in 3 out of 5. On average, Augsburg sees 3 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.4; Hamburger averages 2.4 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Augsburg most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), and Hamburger also tends to score late (76-90, 38%). Conceding: Augsburg mostly between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (27% each), Hamburger between 61-75 minutes (40%). Both teams to score is priced at 1.53, despite both teams scoring few goals recently, Augsburg's defense has been shaky, and Hamburger lacks high scoring. This leads to the prediction: both teams to score - yes.

Corners in the Match

Augsburg averages 3.8 corners per game, Hamburger 5.8. For a total of over 9.5 corners, Augsburg had 1 out of 5 games, Hamburger 2 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.80, and under is 1.95. Augsburg is favored in corners with odds of 1.60. Considering Hamburger's activity in crossing, a bet on over 8.75 corners (odds 1.54) seems justified. The teams are expected to frequently use the wings and set-pieces, so the total corners may approach the upper limit of recent matches.