Prediction for match Augsburg — Freiburg, 18.01.2026

Match Analysis: Augsburg vs Freiburg

In the German Bundesliga, Augsburg will face Freiburg on January 18, 2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Freiburg's victory is priced at 2.59, a win for Augsburg is at 2.99, and a draw is at 3.39. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Freiburg - 38.02%, Augsburg - 32.93%, draw - 29.05%. Freiburg stands out as the favorite by both percentage and odds, but the gap between the teams is not critical, indicating a fairly competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Augsburg played as follows: January 15 - Augsburg vs Union Berlin - 1-1, January 11 - Borussia M vs Augsburg - 4-0, December 20 - Augsburg vs Werder - 0-0. Freiburg's last three games went as follows: January 14 - RB Leipzig vs Freiburg - 2-0, January 10 - Freiburg vs Hamburg - 2-1, December 20 - Wolfsburg vs Freiburg - 3-4. In head-to-head encounters, the last game was on August 23, 2025: Freiburg vs Augsburg - 1-3. In secondary statistics over a five-match span, Augsburg has 46% ball possession, averages 2.4 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Freiburg has 51.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides on average.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Augsburg's over 2.5 goals occurred once, under 2.5 goals occurred four times. For Freiburg, over 2.5 goals occurred twice, under 2.5 goals occurred three times. The average goals scored and conceded for Augsburg is 1.8, for Freiburg - 3. Augsburg scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.2, while Freiburg scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Augsburg and once for Freiburg. In the second half, Augsburg had no occurrences of over 1.5, while Freiburg had 3 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Augsburg most frequently scores in the first 45 minutes (25% across three intervals) as well as between 61-75 minutes (25%). Freiburg is most prolific between 46-60 minutes (56%). Augsburg is most vulnerable at the end of the match (76-90 minutes - 100%), while Freiburg's weakest period is between 46-60 minutes (33%). Considering Freiburg's strong over-profile in average goals and consistent scoring in the second half, betting on over 2.25 goals at 1.70 appears justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over a five-match span, Augsburg averages 4.4 corners, while Freiburg averages 4.8. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 2 out of 5 for Augsburg and 1 out of 5 for Freiburg. The nearest total to the average sum is 9.25. Odds for over 9.25 corners are 2.02, while under is at 2.10. For the outcome on corners, Augsburg is favored with odds of 2.00. Expect 8-10 corners, as both teams are capable of regularly earning set pieces, but there is no clear tilt towards one side.