Prediction for match Basel — St. Gallen, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Basel vs St. Gallen

In the Swiss Super League on November 30, Basel will face off against St. Gallen. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Basel's win is priced at 1.59, a draw at 4.30, and a victory for St. Gallen at 4.87. In terms of probability percentages, Basel has a 58.95% chance of winning, a draw is at 21.80%, and St. Gallen has 19.25%. Basel is the preferred team according to bookmakers, but St. Gallen is known for springing surprises.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Basel played as follows: November 27 - Genk 2-1 Basel, November 23 - Grasshopper 1-1 Basel, November 9 - Basel 0-1 Lugano. St. Gallen in their last three games won 3-1 against Lugano on November 26, beat Lausanne 1-0 on November 23, and lost to Young Boys 1-4 on November 9. Over the last five games, Basel averages 58.6% possession, 2.4 offsides, 12.8 fouls, and receives 2 yellow cards per match. St. Gallen averages 50.2% possession, 1.6 offsides, 13.6 fouls, and 3.2 cards. In their head-to-head on July 26, St. Gallen won 2-1, with the total goals exceeding 2.5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Basel's games went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. St. Gallen's matches went over 2.5 goals four out of five times. In the first halves, Basel had two matches over 1.5 goals, St. Gallen had four. In the second halves, Basel had only one match over 1.5 goals, while St. Gallen had three. The average number of goals in Basel's matches is 2, and in St. Gallen's, it's 4. Basel scores an average of 1 and concedes 1; St. Gallen scores 2.4 and concedes 1.6. Goal distribution shows Basel frequently scores in the 0-15 and 16-30 minute intervals (29% each), while St. Gallen scores most in the first 15 minutes (36%). Basel concedes most in the 46-60 minute interval (50%), while St. Gallen concedes evenly across four intervals, each at 22%. Given St. Gallen's high scoring and Basel's decent attacking play, betting on a total over 3.0 at 1.60 seems a logical choice.

Corner Totals Analysis

Basel averages 7 corners per match, St. Gallen 5.4. In the last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners three out of five times. Of the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (12.4) is 11. The odds for over 11 corners are 2.41, under 11 are 1.50. Basel is the favorite for corners at 1.44. Considering both teams' flank activity, you might consider betting on over 10.5 corners at 1.90, or cautiously on over 9.5 corners, which has a 3 out of 5 occurrence rate for both sides.