Prediction for match Basel — Thun, 01.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Swiss Super League match between Basel and Thun, scheduled for February 1, 2026, bookmakers have marked Basel as the favorite. Basel's win is priced at odds of 2.07, Thun's victory is at 3.12, and a draw stands at 3.78. In terms of probabilities: Basel - 45.23%, draw - 24.77%, Thun - 30.01%. This setup reflects a moderate advantage for Basel, but Thun also has a considerable chance of achieving a positive result. High-scoring options are also in focus, considering both teams' goal profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Basel has an average possession of 49.2%, commits 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Thun, over the same period, holds 51.8% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, registers 14 fouls, and 3.6 offsides. In Basel's last three encounters: January 29, 2026, Basel vs Viktoria Plzeň 0-1, January 25, 2026, Zürich vs Basel 3-4, January 22, 2026, Red Bull Salzburg vs Basel 3-1. For Thun: January 25, 2026, Thun vs Young Boys 4-1, January 18, 2026, Grasshopper vs Thun 1-3, December 20, 2025, Thun vs Zürich 4-2. The last head-to-head match was on September 13, 2025: Thun vs Basel 1-3.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Basel vs Thun

In the last five matches, Basel averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Thun is more prolific with 3 goals scored per game and 1.4 conceded. Over 2.5 goals have occurred 2 out of 5 times for Basel and 4 out of 5 for Thun. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Basel and 3 times for Thun. In the second half, Basel had over 1.5 goals only once out of 5, while Thun had it 3 times. The average number of goals per match is 3.2 for Basel and 4.4 for Thun. Basel most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while they concede most often between the 46th and 60th minute (38%). Thun scores most frequently between the 46th and 60th minute (40%) and concedes between the 16th and 30th minute (33%). Overall, both teams tend towards high-scoring games, particularly Thun, with over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches and an average total exceeding 4 goals per match. Against this backdrop, betting on over 3.0 goals seems logical, considering both teams' attacking potential and Thun's frequent high-scoring games.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five matches, Basel averages 4.2 corners, Thun - 5.6. For over 9.5 corners: Basel has hit this mark 3 out of 5 times, Thun 1 out of 5. Among available corner totals, there is a line at 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.65, under 9.5 at 2.08. Basel is the favorite in corner betting with odds of 1.85. Overall, given both teams' average figures, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering that Basel and Thun together average 9.8 corners per game. It's also worth noting that Basel frequently exceeds the corner total, while Thun could add attacking activity.