Prediction for match Basel — Lausanne, 14.12.2025

Match Analysis: Basel vs Lausanne

In the upcoming round of the Swiss Super League, Basel faces Lausanne on December 14, 2025. The 1X2 odds heavily favor Basel: a win for them is priced at 1.67, Lausanne at 4.25, and a draw at 4.30. The implied probabilities are Basel - 56.14%, draw - 21.80%, Lausanne - 22.06%. This reflects Basel's advantage in current form and bookmakers' expectations. In this context, the goal totals and double chance also lean towards Basel, while the odds for individual totals and both teams to score remain within standard ranges for matches with such a disparity in strength.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Basel has an average possession of 55.6%, while Lausanne has 51.2%. The difference in yellow cards is notable: 1 for Basel versus 3.4 for Lausanne. The teams are close in fouls: 12.6 for Basel and 12.4 for Lausanne, and in offsides, Basel registers 3.2, Lausanne 1.6. In their last three matches, Basel played as follows: December 11 - Basel vs Aston Villa 1-2, December 7 - Winterthur vs Basel 1-2, November 30 - Basel vs St. Gallen 0-0. During the same period, Lausanne's results were: December 11 - KuPS vs Lausanne 0-0, December 7 - Lausanne vs Lugano 0-0, November 30 - Lausanne vs Thun 2-1. Their last head-to-head meeting was on October 26, where Lausanne defeated Basel 5-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Basel has an average of 2.2 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1.2. Lausanne's numbers are lower: 1.2 goals on average, 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, Basel has 3 out of 5 matches going over, while Lausanne has only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Basel has 3 of 5 going over, Lausanne 1 of 5. Both teams are less prolific in the second halves: each has 1 of 5 going over 1.5. Basel most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals (33% each), while Lausanne scores most in the 76-90 minute interval (40%). Basel concedes most often in the 46-60 minute span (29%), while Lausanne in the 61-75 (100%). Considering Lausanne's low scoring, both teams' average defensive capabilities, and the low frequency of overs, a bet on under 3.5 goals at 1.87 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Basel averages 5.4 corners per match, Lausanne 6.2. For over 9.5 corners, Basel has only 1 out of 5, while Lausanne has 4 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.50, under 9.5 at 2.31. Basel is favored in corners with odds of 1.50. Lausanne tends to earn more corners, but Basel has stable average figures in recent games. In this matchup, considering Lausanne's high activity and Basel's decent numbers in this component, it's reasonable to consider over 9.5 corners.