Prediction for match Juarez — Tijuana

Match Preview

On April 11, in Liga MX, Juarez will face Tijuana. According to the 1X2 odds, a Juarez win is priced at 1.83, a draw at 3.65, and a Tijuana victory at 3.94. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Juarez - 50.87%, draw - 25.50%, Tijuana - 23.63%. Juarez is considered the favorite by the bookmakers, but the gap between the teams is not overwhelming. The most intriguing market is the total goals, with "over 2.5" priced at 1.78, making it the primary prediction for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Juarez has an average possession of 52.4%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 10.8, offsides - 1.8. Tijuana has an average possession of 45.2%, yellow cards - 2.4, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 1.8. Juarez's last three matches: April 8, 2026, Queretaro - Juarez 1-1, April 4, 2026, Puebla - Juarez 1-1, March 23, 2026, Juarez - Tigres UANL 2-1. Tijuana's last three matches: April 4, 2026, Tijuana - Tigres UANL 1-0, March 21, 2026, Necaxa - Tijuana 3-0, March 15, 2026, Leon - Tijuana 0-3. In their head-to-head on November 21, 2025, Tijuana defeated Juarez 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five games, Juarez averages 3 goals per game, while Tijuana averages 2.6. Juarez scores an average of 1.4 and concedes 1.6, while Tijuana scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. Juarez has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while Tijuana has done so in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Juarez has seen over 1.5 goals twice, Tijuana once, and in the second half, Juarez 4 out of 5 times, Tijuana 3 out of 5. Juarez most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), while Tijuana scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). Juarez concedes most often between 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Tijuana concedes between 76-90 minutes (33%). These data suggest both teams tend to have high-scoring endings and do not shy away from attacking play. Combined with frequent over 2.5 goals in recent matches for both teams, betting on over 2.5 goals seems logical and justified.

Corner Bets

Juarez significantly outperforms Tijuana in average corners: 6.4 compared to Tijuana's 2.4. In the last 5 matches, Juarez has gone over 9.5 corners 4 times, while Tijuana only once. Among the totals with dual outcomes, the closest to the average corners sum (8.8) is the total 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.56, under 8.5 at 2.28. Juarez is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.46. Based on the statistics, it makes sense to consider Juarez's individual total corners over 5.5, as well as the overall total over 8.5, given the team's high average in this component.