Prediction for match Juarez — Necaxa

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on 15.02.2026, Juarez will face Necaxa. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.24 for a Juarez win, 3.18 for a draw, and 3.20 for a Necaxa victory. The probability distribution is as follows: Juarez - 41.59%, draw - 29.30%, Necaxa - 29.11%. These figures suggest Juarez is the more likely winner, though the margin is not large. For goal totals, Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95, Under 2.5 at 1.81, both teams to score: yes - 1.72, no - 2.01. The Over 2.5 goals bet seems appealing considering both teams' goal and total statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Juarez lost to Pachuca 0-2, had a thrilling 3-4 game against Cruz Azul, and drew 2-2 with Santos Laguna. Necaxa recently thrashed Atlético San Luis 4-1, lost 0-2 to Club América, and fell 0-1 to Atlas. In their head-to-head on 13.09.2025, the teams drew 1-1. Over the last five games, Juarez had an average possession of 55.8%, received 1.6 yellow cards, committed 12.2 fouls, and recorded 1.6 offsides. Necaxa's stats show 49.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These numbers indicate both teams play actively and are evenly matched in intensity.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Juarez averaged 3.4 goals per game, while Necaxa averaged 2.8. Both teams scored 1.4 goals per game, with Juarez conceding 2 and Necaxa 1.4. For Over 2.5 goals: Juarez had 3 out of 5 games over, Necaxa 2 out of 5. In the first half, Juarez had more than 1.5 goals twice, Necaxa three times. In the second half, Juarez had two overs on more than 1.5, Necaxa one. Goal intervals show Juarez often scores between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Necaxa scores between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (29% each). Juarez concedes in four different intervals (20% each), while Necaxa concedes most in the first 15 minutes (43%). This profile suggests a tendency for high-scoring matches, especially given their average totals and Over 2.5 records. Betting on Over 2.5 goals at 1.95 seems logical given these stats.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Juarez averages 3.4 corners over their last 5 matches, while Necaxa averages 4.4, totaling 7.8. For Over 9.5 corners: Juarez had only 1 out of 5 matches over, Necaxa 3 out of 5. The closest total to the average is 7.5 corners. The odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.22, under 7.5 - 3.50. Juarez is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.91. Necaxa tends to hit higher corner totals more frequently, which might be interesting for individual bets or the over 7.5 total. Overall, both teams can create chances and earn corners, as shown by their averages and higher total occurrences.