Prediction for match Juarez — Toluca, 27.11.2025

Match Analysis: Juarez vs Toluca

In Liga MX, Juarez will face Toluca on November 26. The odds are as follows: a win for Toluca is priced at 2.14, which corresponds to a 43.54% probability, Juarez's victory is at 3.19 (29.21%), and a draw is valued at 3.42 (27.25%). Based on these numbers, Toluca appears to be the favorite, but the gap between the teams isn't critical. Both teams approach this match with different dynamics from their recent results, adding an interesting backdrop for analysis.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Juarez averages 49.8% ball possession, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside once per game. Toluca has better averages in possession (58.4%), fewer cards (1.6), the same number of fouls (13.8), and more offsides (3). In Juarez's recent matches: November 24 - Juarez 2-1 Pachuca, November 21 - Tijuana 3-1 Juarez, November 8 - Juarez 1-2 Queretaro. For Toluca: November 9 - Toluca 2-0 Club America, November 1 - Atlas 0-0 Toluca, October 27 - Toluca 2-2 Pachuca. In their last head-to-head on August 12, Juarez lost to Toluca 0-2, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Juarez has seen over 2.5 goals in five consecutive matches (5 out of 5), whereas Toluca has only had this outcome in 2 out of 5 matches. In the first halves, Juarez has gone over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, while Toluca has done so 2 out of 5 times. In the second halves, Juarez hit over 1.5 goals 3 out of 5 times, but Toluca hasn't reached over 1.5 goals in any second half (0 out of 5). The average goals in Juarez's matches is 4.2, while Toluca's is 2.0. The teams score in different intervals: Juarez often scores between 31-45 and 46-60 minutes (27% each), while Toluca scores most frequently between 16-30 minutes (38%). Juarez is most vulnerable at the end of matches (76-90, 40%), while Toluca is susceptible in the middle of the second half (31-60, 50% in each interval). Given Juarez's high-scoring matches and Toluca's second-half instability, it's reasonable to expect over 2.5 goals.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners per game is 3.6 for Juarez and 5.2 for Toluca. In five matches, both teams have exceeded 9.5 corners twice. Based on this data, a bet on over 9.5 corners could be considered, though it doesn't show consistent success. Toluca's higher average for corners could influence the statistics in this match.