Prediction for match Lugano — St. Gallen, 26.11.2025

Match Analysis: Lugano vs St. Gallen

Lugano and St. Gallen will face off in the Swiss Super League on November 26. The odds are as follows: Lugano to win at 1.96, a draw at 3.62, and St. Gallen to win at 3.56. According to probabilities, Lugano has a 47.80% chance of winning, St. Gallen has 26.32%, and a draw is estimated at 25.88%. Lugano is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is not significant, reflecting the balance of power for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lugano has an average possession of 50%, receives 2.2 warnings, commits 14.4 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. St. Gallen also maintains 50% possession but receives 3.4 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per match. In Lugano's last three games: 22.11 Thun - Lugano 0-1, 09.11 Basel - Lugano 0-1, 30.10 Lugano - Lucerne 2-0. In St. Gallen's last three matches: 23.11 St. Gallen - Lausanne 1-0, 09.11 St. Gallen - Young Boys 1-4, 28.10 Sion - St. Gallen 3-2. In their head-to-head on 13.09.2025, St. Gallen defeated Lugano 1-0, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Lugano has an average total of 1.6 goals, while St. Gallen has 3.8. Lugano scores 1.2 and concedes 0.4, while St. Gallen scores 2.2 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Lugano has only 1 out of 5 over, while St. Gallen has 4 out of 5 over. In the first half, Lugano has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while St. Gallen has 3 out of 5. In the second halves: 1 out of 5 for Lugano, 3 out of 5 for St. Gallen over 1.5. The most frequent interval for Lugano goals is 16-30 minutes (33%), for St. Gallen it is 0-15 (33%). Lugano most often concedes in the intervals 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each), while St. Gallen concedes in 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each). Given these stats and St. Gallen's high scoring rate, a bet on both teams to score seems logical. Odds for BTTS: Yes - 1.53.

Corners in the Match

Lugano averages 4.2 corners per game, while St. Gallen averages 6.4. In the last 5 matches, Lugano has 3 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, while St. Gallen has 4 out of 5. In the line for the match: total corners over 9.5 is at 1.68, under 9.5 is at 2.08. St. Gallen is favored in corners with odds of 2.07. Considering the high frequency of over 9.5 corners and St. Gallen's activity in delivering corners, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified.