Prediction for match Luzern — Young Boys

Odds and Probabilities of Match Outcomes

In the Swiss Super League on March 4, Luzern will face Young Boys. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.24 for Luzern's victory, 2.82 for Young Boys' success, and 3.76 for a draw. Looking at the probability percentages, Luzern is estimated at 41.84%, Young Boys at 33.23%, and a draw at 24.93%. The odds and probabilities indicate no clear favorite, but Luzern is slightly favored. The goal total line suggests an emphasis on a high-scoring game: over 3.0 goals is at 1.57, and over 3.25 goals is at 1.77.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Luzern played as follows: 28.02.2026 - Thun - Luzern - 2-1, 22.02.2026 - Luzern - Basel - 4-2, 14.02.2026 - Zurich - Luzern - 1-4. Young Boys' last three results: 01.03.2026 - Young Boys - Zurich - 3-0, 22.02.2026 - Sion - Young Boys - 3-1, 14.02.2026 - Young Boys - Winterthur - 6-1. In their head-to-head on 14.12.2025, Young Boys defeated Luzern 2-0. Over a five-match series, Luzern's possession is 50.6%, with an average of 2.2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Young Boys have 61% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 0.4 offsides. These figures reflect that both teams are active in attack and maintain high intensity.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams have consistently played in high-scoring games. Luzern's over 2.5 goals occurred 4 out of 5 times, and Young Boys' also 4 out of 5. By halves, Luzern had over 1.5 goals in the first half 4 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5. Young Boys had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, and in the second half 3 out of 5. The average goals per match for Luzern is 4.2, for Young Boys 3.8. Goals scored: Luzern - 2.6, Young Boys - 2.4, goals conceded - 1.6 and 1.4 respectively. Luzern most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (45%), Young Boys in the same interval (31%). Luzern most often concedes between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each), Young Boys between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). This profile of both teams suggests a high likelihood of the over 3.0 total, priced at 1.57. The support for totals and average goals in both teams makes the bet on over 3.0 logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Luzern averages 5.4 corners per match, Young Boys 6.2. In a five-match series, Luzern's corner total over 9.5 occurred 3 out of 5 times, Young Boys 4 out of 5. Looking at the corner total, for 11.5 there are a couple of odds: over 11.5 - 2.53, under 11.5 - 1.42. Luzern is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.74. Based on average values and frequency of totals, a bet on corner totals over 9.5 or 10.5 seems justified, as both teams often take many corners. Expect active attacking play and many set pieces in this match.