Prediction for match Luzern — Basel, 17.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League, Luzern will face Basel on December 17. The 1X2 odds are distributed as follows: a win for Luzern is priced at 3.22, a draw at 3.75, and a win for Basel at 2.04. The probabilities suggest a 29.09% chance of a Luzern win, a 24.98% chance of a draw, and a 45.92% probability of a Basel victory. Basel is the favorite according to both odds and percentages, but the gap is not significant. Interestingly, the over 2.75 goals total is at 1.53, and both teams to score: yes - 1.42, no - 2.66.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Luzern lost to Young Boys 0-2 (December 14), was defeated by Thun 1-4 (December 6), and lost at home to Winterthur 1-3 (November 29). Basel, in their last three games, drew 0-0 with Lausanne (December 14), lost to Aston Villa 1-2 (December 11), and beat Winterthur 2-1 (December 7). Over a five-match series, Luzern had 48.8% possession, averaged 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Basel had higher possession at 57.8%, with 1 yellow card, 11.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. The last head-to-head match was on September 28, with Luzern winning 2-1 at Basel's ground.

Teams' Scoring Patterns

Luzern has shown high scoring in their last five matches: over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 games, with an average of 4 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.8. In the first half, Luzern had 4 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, and similarly in the second half, 4 out of 5 went over 1.5 goals. Luzern most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (25%) and concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%). For Basel, over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 recent games, with an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. In the first half, Basel had 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, and only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Basel scores most often between the 31st and 45th, and 46th and 60th minutes (40% each), and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%). Based on these stats, Luzern appears significantly more prolific in scoring, while Basel's matches tend to be lower-scoring. Luzern concedes a lot, and Basel's attack isn't the sharpest, suggesting a bet on under 2.75 goals at 2.25.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Luzern earns 4.8 corners over five matches, while Basel averages 6.4. In a series of five games, Luzern's total over 9.5 corners was recorded 3 times, and Basel's 2 times. The line for corner totals offers a pair for 10.5: over 10.5 - no odds available, under 10.5 - no odds available. Based on this data, one can expect 10-11 corners in the match. Luzern delivers fewer, while Basel often attacks the flanks, which could lead to a corner advantage for Basel. Overall, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but specific odds are not available.