Prediction for match Luzern — Basel

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League on 22.02.2026, Luzern will face Basel. The odds for the match are almost equal: a win for Luzern is at 2.51, Basel is at 2.53, and a draw is priced at 3.60. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 37.18% for Luzern to win, 36.89% for Basel to win, and 25.93% for a draw. This balance of odds and percentages highlights the absence of a clear favorite, emphasizing that both teams have comparable chances of success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Luzern recorded the following results: 14.02.2026 - Zurich vs Luzern - 1-4, 10.02.2026 - Luzern vs Grasshoppers - 4-3, 07.02.2026 - Sion vs Luzern - 0-0. During the same period, Basel played as follows: 15.02.2026 - Basel vs Lugano - 1-1, 12.02.2026 - Sion vs Basel - 2-0, 08.02.2026 - Basel vs Zurich - 2-1. On average over five matches, Luzern holds possession for 51.2% of the time, commits 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Basel shows 52.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 17.12.2025, Luzern lost to Basel 1-2.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

Luzern has been playing attacking football in their last five matches, with an average total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 goals per match. In 3 out of their last 5 matches, the total was over 2.5 goals, and in 3 out of 5 matches, the total was over 1.5 goals in both the first and second halves. Basel, on the other hand, averages 2.2 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. In 2 out of 5 matches, Basel's total was over 2.5 goals, with no occurrences of over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Luzern most frequently scores between the 76-90 minute mark (50%), while Basel scores most often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each). Luzern concedes most frequently between 61-75 minutes (27%), while Basel concedes evenly across all five 15-minute segments, except for 46-60. Given Luzern's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.55 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Luzern averages 4.8 corners per game, while Basel averages 6. For the total over 9.5 corners, Luzern has 1 out of 5, and Basel has 4 out of 5. The most aligned line with the average sum (10.8) is 10.5: the total over 10.5 corners is at 1.90, under 10.5 is at 1.78. Luzern is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.90. Considering both teams average more than 10 corners together, a bet on over 10.5 corners seems justified, especially given Basel's frequent overs.