Prediction for match Luzern — Lugano, 17.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League on January 17, Luzern will face Lugano. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Luzern is priced at 2.73, a draw at 3.28, and a win for Lugano at 2.50. In terms of probabilities: Luzern - 34.20%, draw - 28.46%, Lugano - 37.34%. For both teams to score: yes is at 1.52, no at 2.37. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.69, and under is 2.13. For individual totals: Luzern over 1 goal is 1.48, Lugano over 1 goal is 1.42. The most likely scenario is a high-scoring match where both teams find the net.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Luzern averaged 50.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. During the same period, Lugano averaged 52.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Luzern's last three matches were: 21.12.2025 Lausanne - Luzern 0-4, 17.12.2025 Luzern - Basel 1-2, 14.12.2025 Young Boys - Luzern 2-0. Lugano's results in the same period were: 21.12.2025 Lugano - Young Boys 3-0, 17.12.2025 Zurich - Lugano 0-1, 14.12.2025 Lugano - Servette 4-2. The head-to-head match on 30.10.2025 saw Lugano defeat Luzern 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over their last five matches, Luzern has an average total of 3.6 goals per game, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2. Lugano averages 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding just 0.6. For over 2.5 goals: Luzern had 4 out of 5 matches go over, while Lugano had 2 out of 5. In the first half, both teams had over 1.5 goals twice, while in the second half, Luzern had 4 out of 5 over, and Lugano had 2 out of 5. Goal intervals show Luzern scoring most frequently between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (38% each), while Lugano scores between the 16th-30th minutes (50%). Luzern concedes most often between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (36% each), while Lugano concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (40%). Overall, the statistics suggest a high probability of both teams scoring: Luzern has a strong attacking profile, and Lugano has a solid defense but also good scoring ability. The bet on both teams to score: yes at 1.52 seems logical given these attacking and defensive stats.

Corners in the Match

Luzern averages 7 corners per match, while Lugano averages 4.2. In their last 5 games, Luzern had over 9.5 corners 4 times, while Lugano had it 2 times. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.67, under is at 2.05. Luzern is the favorite in corners with odds of 1.82. Given Luzern's activity on the flanks and the frequency of high corner totals in their matches, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.