Prediction for match Porto — Benfica, 14.01.2026

Match Analysis: Porto vs Benfica

In the Taça de Portugal, a highly anticipated clash between Porto and Benfica will take place on January 14, 2026. The odds for a Porto win are 2.42, a draw is priced at 3.05, and a Benfica victory is at 3.06. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Porto - 38.70%, draw - 30.70%, Benfica - 30.60%. This distribution indicates a closely contested match with no clear favorite, as reflected in the odds.

Team Results and Statistics

Porto has secured victories in their last three matches: on January 4 against Santa Clara (1-0), on December 29 against ABC (2-0), and on December 22 against Alverca (3-0). Benfica is also in good form: they defeated Estoril (3-1) on January 3, drew with Braga (2-2) on December 28, and beat Famalicão (1-0) on December 22. Their last head-to-head encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. Over the last five matches, Porto has averaged 62.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3 offsides per game. Benfica averages 53.6% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. These numbers highlight Porto's strong discipline and ball control, while Benfica commits fewer fouls.

How Many Goals Can We Expect?

Both teams have shown attacking prowess in their last five matches, with Porto averaging a total of 3 goals per game and Benfica the same. Porto scores an average of 2.6 goals per game and concedes only 0.4, while Benfica scores 2.4 and concedes 0.6. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. In the first half, Benfica has seen over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while Porto only in 1 out of 5. In the second half, Porto has seen over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, whereas Benfica only in 1 out of 5. Porto most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), and Benfica between the 31st and 45th minutes (83%). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding between the 46th and 60th minutes: Porto at 50% and Benfica at 30%. Overall, both teams consistently score and rarely concede, making the over 2.0 total goals bet at odds of 1.62 a logical choice given their attacking potential and recent trends.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over the last five matches, Porto has averaged 5.6 corners, while Benfica has averaged 6.2. For over 9.5 corners, Porto has achieved this in 1 out of 5 matches, and Benfica in 2 out of 5. When considering the total corners, the closest line is 11.5, but there are no odds for over or under. Both teams tend to win a fair number of corners, which could be interesting for individual betting markets. Among the corner markets, Benfica appears to be the favorite based on their average number of corners. Overall, the match is expected to be active on the flanks, potentially leading to a high number of corners, especially given both teams' attacking styles.