Prediction for match Porto — Estoril, 30.11.2025

Match Analysis: Porto vs Estoril

In the Primeira Liga on November 30th, Porto will face Estoril. According to the odds, Porto is the clear favorite: the odds for a win are 1.25, for a draw 6.21, and for Estoril's success 13.80. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Porto win 77.41%, draw 15.58%, Estoril win 7.01%. This distribution reflects Porto's significant advantage in this match-up, which is also supported by the results of previous encounters between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five games, Porto averaged 55.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides. Estoril's averages are: possession 50.4%, yellow cards 2.8, fouls 12.2, offsides 1.6. In Porto's last three matches: November 27 - Porto 3-0 Nice, November 9 - Famalicão 0-1 Porto, November 6 - Utrecht 1-1 Porto. For Estoril: November 7 - Estoril 4-3 Arouca, November 1 - Rio Ave 0-4 Estoril, October 26 - Estoril 1-1 Nacional. In their last head-to-head on March 30, 2025, Estoril lost to Porto 1-2, with a total over 2.5 goals. The previous meeting on November 3, 2024, ended 4-0 in favor of Porto, fitting the high-scoring pattern.

Goals by Match Statistics

In a five-match series, Porto's average total goals per match is 2.4, while Estoril's is 3.6. Porto scores an average of 1.8 per game, conceding 0.6; Estoril scores 2.2, conceding 1.4. Both teams have played over 2.5 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches. By halves: Porto has had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, Estoril 3 out of 5; in the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals. For goal intervals: Porto most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (29% scored, 40% conceded), while Estoril peaks in scoring at 31-45 and 46-60 (29% each), conceding also in 31-45 (36%). Given this statistic and the average scoring of both sides, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical - odds 1.62.

Corner Totals Analysis

Porto averages 4.8 corners over 5 matches, Estoril 6.4. For over 9.5 corners: Porto has none out of 5, Estoril 4 out of 5. The total closest to the sum of averages (4.8 + 6.4 = 11.2) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.84, under 9.5 - 1.84. Porto is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds 1.10. Considering Estoril's high figures and Porto's average, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Estoril's frequency.