Prediction for match Porto — Estrela, 15.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On December 15, a Primeira Liga match will take place between Porto and Estrela. According to the 1X2 odds, Porto is the favorite with odds of 1.23, corresponding to a 78.79% probability. A draw is priced at 7.17 with a probability of 13.52%, while an Estrela victory is valued at 12.60 with a probability of 7.69%. In recent head-to-head encounters, the teams have exchanged victories: in April 2025, Estrela defeated Porto 2-0, while in December 2024 and February 2024, Porto won with the same score of 2-0. Overall, the odds and probabilities indicate a clear advantage for Porto in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Porto has averaged 58.6% ball possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 13.2 fouls, and been caught offside 2.2 times per match. Estrela, in their last five games, has averaged 52.6% possession, received 2 yellow cards, committed 14.6 fouls, and been caught offside 1.6 times. In Porto's last three games: on December 11, Porto defeated Malmö 2-1, on December 7, Porto won against Tondela 2-0, and on November 30, Porto beat Estoril 1-0. For Estrela: on December 7, Estrela defeated Arouca 3-1, on November 30, Sporting Lisbon beat Estrela 4-0, and on November 9, Estrela drew 1-1 with Nacional. The last head-to-head match ended with Estrela winning 2-0 on April 26, 2025.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Porto vs. Estrela Match

In a five-match span, Porto has an average total goal count of 2, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.2 per game. Estrela's average is noticeably higher at 4.2 goals per match, scoring 2 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals: Porto has had 2 of their last 5 matches end with three or more goals, while Estrela has had 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Porto 2 times out of 5, and for Estrela 3 times. In the second half, Porto had only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, while Estrela had 3 out of 5. Porto most frequently scores in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each), while Estrela scores most often in the 16-30 minute interval (25%). Porto most frequently concedes in the 46-60 minute interval (50%), while Estrela's most frequent concessions are in the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each). Given this context, a prediction for over 2.5 goals seems logical - Porto consistently scores, Estrela plays high-scoring games, and matches involving them often see this total surpassed. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.64.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Porto averages 4.4 corners per match, while Estrela averages 2.8. In the last five matches, neither team has exceeded a total of 9.5 corners. According to the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.76, while under 9.5 is at 1.93. Porto is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.05. Considering the average corner statistics and the low frequency of high totals, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems reasonable, but a bet on Porto to win the corner count can also be considered.