Prediction for match Porto — Gil Vicente, 26.01.2026

Match Analysis: Porto vs Gil Vicente

In the Primeira Liga match on January 26, Porto will face Gil Vicente. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Porto's victory is at 1.43, a draw is at 4.62, and a win for Gil Vicente is valued at 8.70. The probabilities for the results are distributed as follows: 67.85% chance of success for Porto, 21% for a draw, and 11.15% for Gil Vicente's victory. Based on this data, Porto is considered the favorite, although the odds for a draw are relatively low, indicating the possibility of a competitive match. Interestingly, the percentage difference between a draw and a win for Gil Vicente is quite noticeable, further emphasizing Porto's status as the favorite in this matchup.

Team Results and Statistics

Porto has shown stability in their last five matches: a 1-1 draw with Viktoria Plzen, a 1-0 win over Vitoria Guimaraes, and a narrow 1-0 victory against Benfica. They also secured wins against Santa Clara 1-0 and ABC 2-0. In their recent five-match series, Gil Vicente played 2-1 against Nacional, then had a 1-1 draw with Sporting Lisbon, a 2-2 draw with Arouca, another 2-2 draw with Rio Ave, and a 1-1 draw against Casa Pia. On average, Porto maintains 58.2% possession, commits 14.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game, and receives 3 yellow cards. Gil Vicente holds 53% possession, records 10.6 fouls, 2.2 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards per match. In their last head-to-head meeting on August 18, 2025, Porto defeated Gil Vicente 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Porto's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals did not occur - 0 out of 5 for over, 5 out of 5 for under. For Gil Vicente, the situation is different: 3 out of 5 for over 2.5, 2 out of 5 for under. By halves, Porto had only one match out of five with a total over 1.5 in the first half and one in the second half. Gil Vicente had 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half, but only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the second half. Porto's average goals in matches are 1.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.2 per game. Gil Vicente's average total is 3, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4. In terms of goal intervals: Porto most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes, 40%). Gil Vicente most often scored in three intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 (25% each). Gil Vicente's conceded goals were most frequently recorded in the 31-45 minute interval (57%). Considering Porto's low scoring and solid defense, as well as the fact that Gil Vicente does not often exceed 2.5 in matches against opponents of Porto's level, betting on a total under 2.5 at 1.81 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Porto averages 5.8 corners per match, while Gil Vicente averages 8.2. In the last five meetings, Porto only surpassed the total over 9.5 corners once, while Gil Vicente did so 4 out of 5 times. The odds for the total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.08, under 9.5 is at 1.67. In the corner outcome line, Porto is the favorite with odds of 1.29. Given that Gil Vicente consistently earns a lot of corners, and Porto is also not far behind, betting on a total over 9.5 corners seems justified. However, it should be noted that Porto often controls the ball, which could lead to more set pieces near the opponent's goal.