Prediction for match Porto — Malmo, 11.12.2025

Match Analysis: Porto vs Malmo

On December 11, 2025, Porto will face Malmo in the UEFA Europa League. The odds for a Porto win are 1.26, a draw is at 6.80, and a win for Malmo is priced at 12.90. The probability percentages for the outcomes are as follows: Porto 77.94%, draw 14.44%, Malmo 7.61%. This setup clearly marks Porto as the favorite, with the odds difference highlighting the high level of confidence in the Portuguese team. It's also important to note that Malmo is given minimal chances for a positive result.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Porto had an average possession of 61.8%, 2.2 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Over the same period, Malmo showed 46.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1 offside on average. Porto's last three results were: December 7 - Tondela 0-2 Porto, November 30 - Porto 1-0 Estoril, November 27 - Porto 3-0 Nice. Malmo's last three games ended as follows: November 27 - Nottingham Forest 3-0 Malmo, November 9 - Malmo 2-1 GAIS, November 6 - Malmo 0-1 Panathinaikos. The teams have not faced each other recently. Porto consistently shows high possession and discipline, while Malmo often falls short in ball control and receives fewer yellow cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Porto played over 2.5 goals only once, with under being recorded four times. Malmo, on the other hand, went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. The average number of goals in Porto's matches is 1.8, while Malmo's is higher at 2.6. Porto scores 1.6 and concedes only 0.2 per game, while Malmo scores 0.8 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, Porto went over 1.5 goals only once, while Malmo did so twice. In the second half, Porto went over 1.5 goals twice, and Malmo once. Porto most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (40%), while Malmo scores most in the 46-60 minute interval (43%). Porto concedes most often in the 46-60 minute interval (50%), while Malmo concedes most in the 16-30 minute interval (57%). Considering Malmo's low scoring and Porto's strong defense, a bet on Both Teams to Score: No at 1.55 seems justified. Porto consistently keeps clean sheets, while Malmo rarely scores, as confirmed by recent results.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last five matches, Porto averages 4.8 corners, while Malmo averages 3.6. In a series of five matches, Porto never went over 9.5 total corners, and Malmo only once. The odds for total corners: over 8.5 is at 1.43, under 8.5 is at 2.54. Porto is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.13. The combined average for both teams' corners is close to 8.4, making a bet on over 8.5 logical, especially considering Porto's attacking style. Malmo averages fewer corners, but Porto can maintain the necessary pace in this regard.