Prediction for match Porto — Nice

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On November 27, in the UEFA Europa League, Porto will face Nice. Porto is the clear favorite: odds for their victory are 1.44, with a 68.3% chance of success. A draw is priced at 5.01 (19.63%), while Nice's victory is at 8.15, corresponding to a 12.07% chance. The probability model gives Porto an unquestionable edge, and the odds fully confirm this. Based on the distribution of chances, Porto significantly outmatches their opponent in this clash.

Review of Teams' Recent Matches

In their last five matches, Porto has an average possession of 54%, recording 2.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Nice has 43.8% possession, 2.2 yellows, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Porto's last three matches: 09.11 Famalicão - Porto 0-1, 06.11 Utrecht - Porto 1-1, 02.11 Porto - Braga 2-1. Nice's recent games: 21.11 Nice - Marseille 1-5, 09.11 Metz - Nice 2-1, 06.11 Nice - Freiburg 1-3. The teams have not met in recent seasons, so the focus is on individual form and statistics.

Goals According to Match Statistics

Porto has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches, while Nice has had this outcome in 3 out of 5. In the first half: Porto has only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Nice has 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have played over 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times. The average number of goals in Porto's matches is 2.2, for Nice it's 3.2. Porto scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1, while Nice scores 1 and concedes 2.2 per game. The most frequent goal intervals for Porto are the 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (33% each), for Nice it's 76-90 (43%). In terms of goals conceded, the 31-45 minute segment stands out for both Porto and Nice, with 40% and 44% respectively. Considering Nice's higher average total goals in matches and both teams conceding in key segments, a high-scoring game is expected. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.82 and looks like a justified betting option.

Betting on Corners

In their last five matches, Porto averages 5.6 corners, while Nice averages 3.8. For over 9.5 corners: Porto has had this outcome once in 5 matches, Nice has had it 3 times in 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.76, and for under it's 2.00. Based on statistics, Nice more frequently hits high corner totals, while Porto's average is higher. Porto's victory on corners is priced at 1.23. For betting in this match, choosing over 9.5 corners makes sense, considering the overall trend in recent games for both teams and Nice's frequency of hitting this mark.