Prediction for match Porto — Sporting CP, 09.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On February 9, in the Primeira Liga, Porto will face Sporting CP. According to the 1X2 odds, Porto's victory is priced at 2.43, a draw at 3.11, and Sporting CP's win at 3.34. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Porto - 39.86%, draw - 31.14%, Sporting CP - 29.00%. The odds indicate a slight advantage for Porto, but a draw is also considered a likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Porto lost to Casa Pia 1-2 on February 2, defeated Rangers 3-1 on January 29, and comfortably won against Gil Vicente 3-0 on January 26. Sporting CP has been successful in their last three encounters: they beat ABC 3-2 on February 5, overcame Nacional 2-1 on February 1, and triumphed over Athletic Bilbao 3-2 on January 28. Over a five-match span, Porto averages 56.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Sporting CP averages 58% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on August 30, 2025, Sporting CP lost to Porto 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Porto's games have seen over 2.5 goals three times, while Sporting CP's have seen this in all five. Porto averages 2.6 goals scored and conceded per game, while Sporting CP averages 3.8. Porto scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 0.8, whereas Sporting CP scores 2.4 and concedes 1.4. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred three times for Porto and once for Sporting CP. In the second half, Porto saw over 1.5 goals only once, while Sporting CP did so in all five matches. Porto tends to score most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (44%) and concedes most in the final 15 minutes (76-90) at 33%. Sporting CP's goals are more evenly distributed: 22% in the intervals of 16-30, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes, with most goals conceded in the last 15 minutes (56%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent occurrences of over 2.5 goals in Sporting CP's matches, and decent goal averages, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.24 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Porto averages 6.6 corners per match, while Sporting CP averages 7.8. In their last five matches, Porto's games saw over 9.5 corners twice, and Sporting CP's saw this in all five. Although there are no odds for a total of 14.5 corners, both options are available for a total of 9.5 corners: over 9.5 at 2.06, under 9.5 at 1.58. Porto is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.80. Considering the high average number of corners for both teams and frequent occurrences for Sporting CP, betting on over 9.5 corners is logical.