Prediction for match St. Gallen — Basel, 04.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Swiss Cup on February 4, 2026, St. Gallen will face Basel. According to the main 1X2 odds, Basel is the favorite with odds of 2.38, St. Gallen at 2.68, and a draw at 3.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Gallen win - 34.58%, draw - 26.48%, Basel win - 38.94%. Both teams to score is priced at 1.54 for 'yes' and 2.32 for 'no'. The over 2.5 goals total is at 1.67, while under 2.5 is at 2.14. For the total of 3.0 goals: over is 2.04, under is 1.65. A double chance for St. Gallen/draw is at 1.53. For individual totals, St. Gallen over 1.5 is at 2.22, Basel over 1.5 is at 2.05. The second half over 1.5 total is valued at 1.88, under at 1.85. This highlights the expectation of a high-scoring game from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Gallen played as follows: February 1 - Luzern vs. St. Gallen 2-2, January 25 - St. Gallen vs. Servette 2-4, December 21 - Grasshopper vs. St. Gallen 1-2. Basel's results in their last three encounters were: February 1 - Basel vs. Thun 1-2, January 29 - Basel vs. Viktoria Plzeň 0-1, January 25 - Zurich vs. Basel 3-4. In their head-to-head on November 30, 2025, Basel and St. Gallen drew 0-0. In a five-match span, St. Gallen averages 40.2% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Basel has 48.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These numbers show St. Gallen plays more aggressively, while Basel controls the ball more and commits fewer fouls.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, St. Gallen's average total goals per game is 3.8, while Basel's is 3.4. St. Gallen scores 2.2 and concedes 1.6, Basel scores 1.4 and concedes 2. For over 2.5 goals: St. Gallen - 4 out of 5, Basel - 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: both teams 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the second half: St. Gallen - 3 out of 5, Basel - 2 out of 5. St. Gallen most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), while Basel scores most in the first 15 minutes (50%). St. Gallen concedes most often at the end (76-90, 33%), Basel in the early second half (46-60, 33%). These statistics confirm both teams are prone to high-scoring matches, especially St. Gallen, with 4 out of 5 matches ending with three or more goals. Basel is also not far behind in this regard, and the average goals scored and conceded by both teams support a bet on over 2.5 at 1.67. The frequency of surpassing the total and St. Gallen's high scoring in the final minutes also favor this choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

St. Gallen averages 3.6 corners per match, Basel 4.2. For over 9.5 corners: St. Gallen - 2 out of 5, Basel - 4 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 8.5, with over 8.5 at 1.58, under at 2.23. In terms of corner outcomes, St. Gallen is the favorite with odds of 1.77. Considering both teams combine for around 7.8 corners, and Basel often exceeds the 9.5 total, betting on over 8.5 seems logical. St. Gallen slightly less frequently surpasses the 9.5 mark, but overall both teams are capable of high activity in this metric. For individual totals, St. Gallen often delivers 4 or more corners, while Basel consistently stays around 4-5. In the last five matches, Basel exceeded the 9.5 total four times, further supporting the idea of betting on the upper total for corners.