Prediction for match St. Gallen — Sion

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League on December 16, 2025, St. Gallen will face Sion. The odds for the outcome are as follows: a win for St. Gallen is at 2.31, a victory for Sion is at 2.89, and a draw is at 3.46. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Gallen 40.54%, draw 27.06%, Sion 32.40%. Thus, St. Gallen is seen as a slight favorite, but the difference in chances between the teams is not significant. The options for the total goals are also quite balanced: over 2.5 goals is at 1.69, and under 2.5 is at 2.13, indicating a tendency towards a high-scoring game, but without a clear bias.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Gallen defeated Thun 2-0 on December 13, lost to Zurich 1-2 on December 6, and finished with a 0-0 draw against Basel on November 30. Sion won 1-0 against Grasshopper on December 13, beat Young Boys 2-0 on December 7, and drew 1-1 with Lugano on November 29. Over a five-game average, St. Gallen has 39.4% possession, 3.6 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per match. Sion has higher possession at 50%, 2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 28, 2025, Sion won 3-2 against St. Gallen.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of their last 5 matches. St. Gallen averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with a total goal average of 2 in their games. Sion has higher averages: 1.6 goals scored, 1 conceded, and a total of 2.6. By halves, St. Gallen had over 1.5 goals in the first half twice and once in the second half in their last five matches. Sion had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and once in the second. Both teams most frequently score between the 31st and 45th minutes: St. Gallen 50%, Sion also 50%. St. Gallen most often concedes between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while Sion concedes in three different intervals: 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (29% each). Given these stats and the fact that both teams have decent goal averages, with over 2.5 goals occurring 2 times out of 5, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.69 seems logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, St. Gallen averages 3.4 corners, while Sion averages 6.4, totaling 9.8. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The lines closest to the average are set at 9.5: over 9.5 corners is at 1.94, under 9.5 at 1.80. In this scenario, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable, considering Sion's high corner stats and a moderate frequency of this line being crossed in their series of matches. St. Gallen delivers fewer corners, but the combined total allows for considering the over option.