Prediction for match St. Pauli — 1.FC Köln

Match Analysis: St. Pauli vs 1.FC Köln

In the Bundesliga on April 17, 2026, St. Pauli will face off against 1.FC Köln. According to the 1X2 odds, St. Pauli is priced at 2.78, Köln at 2.77, and a draw at 3.40. The probabilities are distributed as follows: St. Pauli - 35.45%, draw - 28.98%, Köln - 35.57%. The odds and percentages show a nearly even balance of power, promising an intriguing contest. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.17, while under 2.5 goals is at 1.81, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, St. Pauli recorded the following results: April 11, 2026, St. Pauli vs Bayern 0-5, April 5, 2026, Union Berlin vs St. Pauli 1-1, March 22, 2026, St. Pauli vs Freiburg 1-2. Köln's last three games were: April 12, 2026, Köln vs Werder 3-1, April 5, 2026, Eintracht Frankfurt vs Köln 2-2, March 21, 2026, Köln vs Borussia M 3-3. In their head-to-head on December 6, 2025, Köln and St. Pauli played to a 1-1 draw. Additional stats over five matches: St. Pauli averages 41% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Köln maintains 47.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. These figures indicate Köln's more aggressive play and slightly better discipline from St. Pauli.

How Many Goals in St. Pauli vs Köln

Over a five-match span, St. Pauli has an average total of 2.4 goals per game, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 2. Köln, in the same period, averages 3.8 goals per game, scoring 2 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 total goals: St. Pauli has 2 out of 5, Köln - 4 out of 5. In the first half, St. Pauli never exceeded 1.5 total goals, while Köln did so 2 out of 5 times. In the second half, St. Pauli exceeded 1.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, and Köln 4 out of 5. St. Pauli often scores between the 16th-75th minutes (25% in each of the four intervals), while Köln scores early (0-15 minutes - 30%) and after the 60th minute (61-75 and 76-90 - 30% each). St. Pauli concedes most in the second half (46-90 minutes - 25%), while Köln concedes between the 16th-75th minutes (22% each). Given Köln's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and the overall average scoring of both sides, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.17 seems justified.

Corners in the Match

St. Pauli averages 3.2 corners per match, while Köln averages 5.8. Over a five-match series, St. Pauli had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners, while Köln had 2 out of 5. The line for total corners is set at 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.85, as is under 9.5. St. Pauli is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.86. Considering Köln's average activity and St. Pauli's not-so-high corner productivity, it's logical to expect total corners closer to 9-10, with Köln possibly having the edge in corner count.