Prediction for match St. Pauli — Hoffenheim, 28.10.2025

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

On October 28, 2025, St. Pauli will face Hoffenheim in the DFB Pokal. Based on the 1X2 odds, Hoffenheim is a slight favorite with odds of 2.50, giving them a 37.58% chance of winning. St. Pauli has odds of 2.70, corresponding to a 34.79% chance of victory, while a draw is priced at 3.40 (27.63%). The odds and probabilities indicate a closely contested match, with a minimal advantage for the visitors.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at the form of the teams in their last five matches, St. Pauli averages 0.2 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded, with a total goal average of 2.2 in their games. Hoffenheim has a significantly higher scoring rate, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with an average total of 3.0. In terms of corners, St. Pauli averages 5.8, while Hoffenheim averages 7.6 per game. Recently, St. Pauli lost to Eintracht Frankfurt 0-2 (October 25, 2025) and Hoffenheim 0-3 (October 19, 2025). Hoffenheim, meanwhile, defeated Heidenheim 3-1 (October 25, 2025) and St. Pauli 3-0 (October 19, 2025). In head-to-head encounters, the last match ended with a convincing 3-0 win for Hoffenheim, and out of the last five games between these teams, St. Pauli won twice, Hoffenheim also won twice, and one match ended in a draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, St. Pauli played under 2.5 goals three times (2 over, 3 under), while Hoffenheim went over three times (3 over, 2 under). St. Pauli's average total is 2.2, and Hoffenheim's is 3.0. In the first half, St. Pauli exceeded 1.5 goals only once in 5 matches, while Hoffenheim did so twice. In the second half, Hoffenheim went over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while St. Pauli did so only once. St. Pauli most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (50%), while Hoffenheim distributes their goals evenly across all intervals, with 20% in each of the five 15-minute segments. St. Pauli concedes 60% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minute, while Hoffenheim concedes 30% between the 46th and 60th and 76th and 90th minutes. This suggests that the likelihood of goals increases significantly in the second half, especially from the visitors.

Corners in the Match

On average, over the last 5 matches, St. Pauli has 5.8 corners, while Hoffenheim has 7.6. In the last 5 matches, St. Pauli exceeded 9.5 corners three times, and Hoffenheim did so all 5 times. Among the available odds, the total corners over 10.5 is priced at 2.00, and under 10.5 is at 1.80. For the outcome on corners, St. Pauli is the favorite with odds of 1.67.