Prediction for match Thun — Basel

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On April 11, 2026, Thun will face Basel in the Swiss Super League. The odds for a Thun victory are 1.75, a draw is priced at 4.10, and a Basel win is at 3.97. In terms of probability percentages for this clash, Thun is given a 53.54% chance, a draw is at 22.85%, and Basel's chances of winning are 23.60%. Thus, bookmakers favor Thun, but Basel is not without hope, and a draw is considered the least likely of the three main outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at recent matches, Thun's last five games are as follows: on April 4, they lost to Lugano 0-1, on March 21, they were defeated by Zurich 1-2, on March 14, they convincingly beat Grasshopper 5-1, on March 8, they won against Young Boys 2-1, and on March 5, they drew with St. Gallen 2-2. During the same period, Basel's results include: a 3-3 draw with Young Boys on April 4, a 2-0 win over Winterthur on March 22, a 3-1 victory against Servette on March 15, a 0-3 loss to St. Gallen on March 8, and a 1-0 win over Grasshopper on March 5. On average, over the last five matches, Thun has 48.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 18 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Basel averages 52% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 8.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head meeting on February 1, 2026, Basel lost to Thun 1-2.

How Many Goals in the Thun vs Basel Match

In terms of goal-scoring, both teams exhibit a strong over-profile. Thun averages 3.4 goals per match, while Basel averages 3.2. In the last five games, Thun had 4 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals, and Basel had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Thun had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals, and Basel had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Thun recorded 3 matches over 1.5 goals, Basel had 2. Individually, Thun scores 2 goals on average, Basel 1.8, and both concede 1.4. Thun most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (27%), while Basel scores most often in two intervals: 0-15 and 31-45 minutes (27% each). Thun concedes most frequently in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Basel concedes most in the final stages: 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). All this suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, where both sides are likely to score, and goals could come in both halves. Considering both teams' average goals exceed 3, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 and 3 of their last 5 games respectively, betting on over 3.0 goals is logical. The odds for this outcome are 1.56.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Thun averages 6.6 per match, and Basel 4. In the last five games, Thun had 4 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 corners, and Basel had 2 out of 5. Looking at the odds for corner totals, for a value of 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 corners at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.05. Thun is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.42. Considering both teams combine for 10.6 corners per game, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Additionally, betting on Thun to win the corner count is worth considering, given their high average.