Prediction for match Thun — St. Gallen

Who is the favorite in the Thun vs St. Gallen match?

In the Swiss Super League on March 5, Thun will face St. Gallen. The odds for a Thun victory are 2.08, while a win for St. Gallen is at 3.24, and a draw is priced at 3.60. In terms of probability, Thun is given a 45.05% chance to win, St. Gallen 28.92%, and a draw 26.03%. Based on these figures, Thun has a slight edge, but St. Gallen also has a significant chance of getting a positive result. Given the attacking nature of both teams in recent matches, options with totals and both teams to score look promising.

Team results and statistics

Thun has been in good form in their last five matches: a 2-1 win against Luzern (28.02.2026), a 3-0 victory over Winterthur (25.02.2026), and a 1-0 win against Sion (15.02.2026). Earlier, they beat Lausanne 5-1 and Servette 3-1. St. Gallen also shows strong results: a 2-1 win over Winterthur (28.02.2026), a 1-1 draw with Servette (21.02.2026), and a big 5-1 win against Winterthur (18.02.2026). They drew 0-0 with Grasshopper and won 2-1 against Young Boys. In their last encounter, St. Gallen defeated Thun 2-0 (13.12.2025). Over the last 5 matches, Thun averages 47.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. St. Gallen averages 49% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game.

How many goals will be scored in the Thun vs St. Gallen match?

In their last five matches, Thun has an average total of 3.4 goals, while St. Gallen's is 2.8. Thun scores an average of 2.8 goals and concedes 0.6, whereas St. Gallen scores 2 and concedes 0.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 matches for Thun and 3 out of 5 for St. Gallen. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened twice for Thun and four times for St. Gallen. In the second half, Thun had 3 occurrences of over 1.5 goals, St. Gallen had 2. Thun most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (44%), while St. Gallen scores in two periods: 0-15 and 76-90 (43% each). Thun is most vulnerable to conceding between the 31st and 45th and 46th and 60th minutes (38% each), while St. Gallen concedes evenly across four different periods (25% each). Considering both teams' high scoring rates, frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, and consistent attacking performances, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.46 seems justified, but for the main prediction, we choose a higher total - over 2.75 at 1.57.

Betting on corners

Both teams average the same number of corners - 7.2 per match over the last five games. Thun had over 9.5 corners in 5 out of 5 matches, and St. Gallen in 4 out of 5. The line offers a total corners bet of over 9.5 at 1.60, under at 2.16. You can also consider betting on corners: a win for Thun is priced at 1.59. Given that both teams consistently win a lot of corners and often exceed high totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Individual team corner totals might also be interesting, considering the attacking style of both teams.