Prediction for match Thun — Zurich

Odds and Outcome Probability Percentages

In the upcoming Swiss Super League match between Thun and Zurich, the focus is on the odds and probability percentages. Thun's victory is priced at 1.98, while Zurich's win is at 3.44, and a draw is at 3.68. Based on bookmakers' assessments, Thun has a 47.31% chance of winning, Zurich has 27.23%, and a draw is at 25.46%. These figures highlight Thun as the team with the best chance of success. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 goals stand at 1.55, and under 2.5 goals is at 2.40, suggesting an expectation of a high-scoring game. The odds for both teams to score 'yes' are 1.47, and 'no' is 2.50, indicating a likelihood of both teams finding the back of the net. It's important to note that for individual team totals, Thun over 1.5 is priced at 1.74, and Zurich over 1.5 is at 2.39, reflecting slightly higher expectations from Thun's attack. Meanwhile, the double chance 1X is at 1.28, and X2 is at 1.79.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Thun has an average possession of 50.6%, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Zurich, on the other hand, averages 51% possession, 3 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three games, Thun played as follows: 16.12.2025 - Winterthur - Thun - 1-4, 13.12.2025 - Thun - St. Gallen - 0-2, 06.12.2025 - Thun - Luzern - 4-1. Zurich's last three matches were: 17.12.2025 - Zurich - Lugano - 0-1, 13.12.2025 - Zurich - Winterthur - 2-2, 06.12.2025 - St. Gallen - Zurich - 1-2. From their head-to-head history, the match on 23.08.2025 stands out, where Zurich lost to Thun 0-4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of totals over the last five matches, both teams have seen three out of five games end with over 2.5 goals, and only two ended under. A similar pattern is observed with over 1.5 goals in the first half: Thun has three out of five, Zurich has two out of five over. In the second half, both teams more often recorded under 1.5 goals (Thun - one out of five over, Zurich - also one out of five). The average goal count in Thun's matches over five games is 3.2, and Zurich's is 2.6, confirming their tendency for high-scoring games. On average, Thun scores 1.8 goals per match, Zurich 1.4, while conceding 1.4 and 1.2 respectively. Thun most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (43%), and Zurich also in this interval (33%). Thun concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 44%), while Zurich concedes between 31-45 minutes (43%). These statistics indicate that both teams are capable of attacking and conceding at different periods, and the overall goal profile supports the idea of betting on over 2.5 goals. Additionally, it's worth noting that both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games, and their average goals scored exceed 1.0, strengthening the argument for a high-scoring match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Thun registers an average of 8.2 corners in their last five matches, Zurich 5.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Thun has three out of five, Zurich two out of five. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the sum of averages (13.8) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 1.99, under 10.5 at 1.77. In terms of corner outcomes, Thun is favored with odds of 1.70. It makes sense to consider betting on over 10.5 corners, given the high averages for both teams and regular occurrences of high totals in recent matches. It's also worth noting that Thun consistently delivers many corners, which could influence the dynamics of this aspect in the upcoming encounter.