Prediction for match Thun — Lausanne, 12.02.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League on February 12, Thun will face Lausanne. According to the 1X2 odds, bookmakers have Thun as the favorite: a win for Thun is priced at 2.05, a draw at 3.20, and a win for Lausanne at 3.74. The probability percentages are as follows: Thun - 45.69%, draw - 29.27%, Lausanne - 25.04%. This suggests an advantage for Thun, but Lausanne is not without hope against their opponent. The game is expected to have a noticeable attacking focus, considering the profiles of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Thun has shown strong additional statistical performance: their average ball possession is 47.4%, they receive 1.8 yellow cards per game, commit 14.2 fouls, and are caught offside 2.6 times. Lausanne boasts a higher possession rate of 56.6%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per match. Thun's last three results were: February 8, Servette 1-3 Thun, February 1, Basel 1-2 Thun, January 25, Thun 4-1 Young Boys. Lausanne's last three matches were: February 8, Lausanne 1-1 St. Gallen, January 31, Winterthur 2-1 Lausanne, January 24, Lausanne 1-1 Grasshopper. In their last head-to-head on November 30, 2025, Lausanne defeated Thun 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal profiles of the teams differ significantly. In their last five matches, Thun had over 2.5 goals in all five, while Lausanne had it in two out of five. On average, Thun's matches feature 4.4 goals, with the team scoring 3.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Lausanne's averages are more modest: 2.4 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1. Thun's second half had over 1.5 goals five times out of five, while the first half had it two times out of five. Lausanne had two instances in both halves for over 1.5 goals in five matches. Thun most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (45%), whereas Lausanne scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (40%). Thun is most vulnerable at the start (0-15 minutes, 36%), while Lausanne is also vulnerable in the first 15 minutes (29%) and between 61-75 minutes (29%). This profile with a clear over-trend for Thun and moderate scoring for Lausanne supports considering over 2.5 goals at 1.67 as an optimal choice. Arguments for this bet include Thun's high average scoring, consistent over 2.5 goals, second-half support, and both teams' goal intervals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Thun earns 6.2 corners per match, Lausanne 4.2. In their last five games, Thun's total corners over 9.5 happened three times, while Lausanne had it twice. The line for total corners is set at 10.5: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.00, under 10.5 at 1.75. On average, both teams combine for 10.4 corners per game, which is close to this line. Given the corner dynamics, it's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 or 10.5 corners, considering Thun's attacking style and regular over occurrences in their matches. It's also worth noting that the odds for Thun to win the corner count are at 2.00, confirming their activity in this aspect. Overall, the match promises to be rich in goals and set pieces.