Prediction for match Winterthur — Basel

Match Analysis: Winterthur vs Basel

On December 7th, a Super League clash will take place between Winterthur and Basel. According to the 1X2 odds, Basel is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.39, a draw is at 5.10, and a win for Winterthur is at 6.58. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Winterthur win 14.24%, draw 18.37%, Basel win 67.39%. This setup confirms Basel's status as the team with the highest chances of securing three points. Bookmakers' expectations and percentage assessments indicate a significant advantage in favor of Basel.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Winterthur has performed as follows: on November 29th, they lost to Luzern 1-3, on November 22nd, they suffered a heavy defeat to Young Boys 0-5, and on November 8th, they were beaten by Grasshopper 0-1. During the same period, Basel played the following matches: on November 30th, they drew with St. Gallen 0-0, on November 27th, they lost to Genk 1-2, and on November 23rd, they finished 1-1 against Grasshopper. Over the last five matches, Winterthur's average possession is 43.8%, with 1.4 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Basel, on the other hand, has 60.2% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. It's also worth noting their last head-to-head encounter: on October 18th, Basel defeated Winterthur 3-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Winterthur has shown a productive profile over the last five matches: an average of 3.8 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.4. Basel is more restrained: an average of 2 goals, scoring 1 and conceding the same. Winterthur had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Basel had 2 out of 5. In the first half, Winterthur had over 1.5 goals three times out of five, and Basel twice. In the second half, Winterthur had two instances of over 1.5, and Basel had one. Winterthur most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (31%), and concedes evenly in three segments: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Basel most often scores in the first half-hour (25% in the 0-15 and 16-30 intervals), and concedes mainly at the start of the second half (46-60 - 50%). Such a time distribution and Winterthur's high scoring rate, along with Basel's not-so-low profile, suggest considering a bet on both teams to score: yes. The odds for this option are 1.50.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Winterthur averages 3 corners over five matches, while Basel averages 6.8. Winterthur had over 9.5 total corners in 3 out of 5 matches, while Basel had 2 out of 5. The closest to the average total is 9.5, for which both outcomes are available: total corners over 9.5 - 1.68, under 9.5 - 2.03. In the corners market, Basel is the favorite with odds of 1.27. Given the difference in corner deliveries, it's logical to expect Basel to create more chances in front of the opponent's goal and potentially outnumber Winterthur in corners. Overall, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified, but an individual total for Basel's corners could also be considered.