Prediction for match Winterthur — Basel

Match Analysis: Winterthur vs Basel

On March 22, 2026, Winterthur will face Basel in the Swiss Super League. Basel is the favorite with odds of 1.69, while Winterthur's odds are 4.20, and a draw is at 4.25. The probability distribution is as follows: Winterthur 22.35%, draw 22.09%, Basel 55.55%. This indicates a significant advantage for Basel, which has consistently been rated higher in recent encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Winterthur's recent matches were: March 15, 2026, Luzern 1-2 Winterthur, March 7, 2026, Sion 1-1 Winterthur, March 3, 2026, Winterthur 1-1 Servette. Basel's last three games were: March 15, 2026, Basel 3-1 Servette, March 8, 2026, St. Gallen 3-0 Basel, March 5, 2026, Basel 1-0 Grasshopper. In their last head-to-head on December 7, 2025, Winterthur lost to Basel 1-2. Over a five-match series, Winterthur had 38.4% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Basel had 52.4% possession, 1 yellow card, 7.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Winterthur averaged 2.6 goals per match, while Basel averaged 3.4. Winterthur scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.6, while Basel scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8. Winterthur hit over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5, and Basel in 4 out of 5. Both teams exceeded 1.5 goals in the first half twice in 5 games, and in the second half, they exceeded it 3 times out of 5. Winterthur most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), as does Basel (33%). Winterthur's most common concession times are 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Basel most often concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). Overall, both teams show a tendency for high-scoring matches, especially in the second half, supported by over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 and 4 out of 5 cases. Based on this data, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.48 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Over a five-match span, Winterthur averages 3.2 corners, and Basel averages 5. Both teams have exceeded 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games. Among the corner totals, the line of 9.5 is noteworthy, with options for both over and under: over 9.5 corners is at 1.60, and under 9.5 is at 2.20. Basel is favored for corners with odds of 1.45. Given both teams' average activity and the frequency of exceeding the 9.5 total, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical. It's also worth noting that Basel consistently delivers more corners than Winterthur, as reflected in the odds.