Prediction for match Winterthur — Lugano, 07.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Winterthur will face Lugano in the Swiss Super League on February 7, 2026. According to the odds, Lugano is the favorite: a win for Lugano is priced at 1.68, a draw at 4.05, and a win for Winterthur at 4.45. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Winterthur - 21.06%, draw - 23.14%, Lugano - 55.79%. This setup reflects Lugano's advantage according to the bookmakers' expectations and recent match statistics. The betting line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual team performances, allowing for an optimal prediction choice.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Winterthur averages 38.4% possession, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 0.2 times per game. Lugano looks more confident in these aspects: 61% possession, 2.2 yellows, 10.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Winterthur played as follows: January 31 - Winterthur 2-1 Lausanne, January 24 - Lugano 4-1 Winterthur, January 14 - Sion 2-0 Winterthur. Lugano during the same period: January 31 - Grasshopper 1-1 Lugano, January 24 - Lugano 4-1 Winterthur, January 17 - Lucerne 2-5 Lugano. The last encounter between these teams was on January 24, which ended in a 4-1 victory for Lugano.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last 5 matches, Winterthur shows an average total of 3.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.6 per game. Lugano has figures of 3.6 for total goals, 2.8 scored, and 0.8 conceded. For over 2.5 goals: Winterthur has 4 out of 5 over, Lugano - 3 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored by Winterthur 2 times, Lugano 3 times, and in the second half - 4 out of 5 for Winterthur and 3 out of 5 for Lugano. Regarding goal intervals, Winterthur most often scores between 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (27% each), while Lugano distributes goals evenly across five intervals (20% each). Winterthur concedes most frequently between 16-45 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), Lugano - in the intervals 31-45 and 61-75 (38% each). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and consistent goal statistics, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.51 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Winterthur over 5 matches is 2.8, for Lugano - 4.2. The over 9.5 corners total was achieved 1 time out of 5 for both teams. For the corners total line, the closest to the sum of average values is the total of 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.22, under 7.5 at 3.50. For the outcome on corners, Lugano is the favorite with odds of 1.55. In this match, Lugano is expected to be more active in taking corners, and the overall corners total is likely not to exceed 10, considering the average stats of both teams.