Prediction for match Winterthur — Thun

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

Winterthur and Thun will face off on December 16 in a Swiss Super League match. According to the 1X2 odds, Thun is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.73, reflecting a 54.10% probability. A victory for Winterthur is given at 4.16 (22.50%), while a draw is at 4.00 (23.40%). These odds highlight Thun's perceived advantage before the game begins. The current line for total goals offers Over 2.75 at 1.52, and Under 2.5 at 2.54, indicating expectations for a high-scoring match, but with caution regarding the upper limit. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.45, no at 2.56. For individual totals: Winterthur Over 1 is at 1.67, Thun Over 1.5 at 1.53. In the exact score market, the lowest odds are for 1-1 and 1-2, both at 8.00.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Winterthur drew 2-2 with Zurich (December 13), lost 1-2 to Basel (December 7), and defeated Lucerne 3-1 (November 29). Thun, in their last three outings, lost 0-2 to St. Gallen (December 13), thrashed Lucerne 4-1 (December 6), and were beaten by Lausanne 1-2 (November 30). Over a five-match span, Winterthur has 41% possession, while Thun has 46.8%. Winterthur averages 2.2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game; Thun averages 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Their last head-to-head was on October 28, where Thun won 3-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

Winterthur has shown a high level of scoring in their last five games: 4 out of 5 matches went over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in Winterthur's matches is 3.4, with the team scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. By halves, Winterthur had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times out of 5, and in the first half 2 times out of 5. Thun, in their last five matches, played over 2.5 goals twice, with an average total of 2.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. By halves, Thun had over 1.5 goals in the second half once, and in the first half twice. The most frequent scoring interval for Winterthur is the 16-30 minute mark (33%), and for conceding, it's 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). For Thun, they score most frequently between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (33% each), and concede mostly in the final 76-90 minutes (67%). Based on these insights, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.52 seems optimal: Winterthur consistently plays in high-scoring games, and Thun can maintain the pace, considering goal intervals and Winterthur's frequent over 2.5 totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Winterthur averages 3.2 corners per match, while Thun averages 7.6, totaling 10.8. Over a five-match span, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. The line offers a total corners bet of over 9.5 at 1.80, under at 1.95. In the corner outcome market, Thun is the favorite with a 1.45 odds. Given the high average sum of corners and the frequency of high total corners, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. Also, note Thun's active wing play, which could lead to an increased number of corners in this match.