Prediction for match Winterthur — Thun

Match Analysis: Winterthur vs Thun

In the Swiss Super League on 21.02.2026, Winterthur will face Thun. According to the 1X2 odds, Thun is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.46, which corresponds to a 64.14% probability. A draw is at 4.75 (19.71%), and a win for Winterthur is at 5.80 (16.15%). This setup reflects the bookmakers' confidence in Thun's advantage, considering their current form and recent match statistics. Winterthur faces a tough challenge given the difference in chances and results in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Winterthur, in their last five matches, averages 40.2% possession, records 3 yellow cards, 17.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Thun has higher possession at 45.4%, with 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Winterthur lost to St. Gallen 1-5 (18.02.2026), to Young Boys 1-6 (14.02.2026), and to Zurich 0-3 (11.02.2026). During the same period, Thun defeated Sion 1-0 (15.02.2026), thrashed Lausanne 5-1 (12.02.2026), and beat Servette 3-1 (8.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 16.12.2025, Thun confidently defeated Winterthur 4-1.

Goal Totals Statistics

Winterthur and Thun show high scoring potential: in their last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games. The average number of goals in Winterthur's matches is 4.2, while Thun's is 3.8. Winterthur scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 3.2, whereas Thun scores 3 and concedes only 0.8. By halves, Winterthur has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, but 5 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half. Thun has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, but 4 out of 5 in the second half. The most frequent interval for goals for both teams is the 76-90 minute mark: 36% of Winterthur's goals and 33% of Thun's. Winterthur concedes most frequently in the second half: 25% in the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 intervals. Thun concedes 29% in the 31-45 and 76-90 minutes. This statistics suggest that the match could be high-scoring, especially in the second half. Considering both teams' over 2.5 goals trend, high average totals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 3.0 goals seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Winterthur averages 2.6 corners per match, while Thun averages 6. In the last five matches, Winterthur had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games, while Thun had 5 out of 5. Among the available lines for corners, the total closest to the average sum (8.6) is 8.5: over 8.5 is priced at 1.36, under 8.5 at 2.75. In the corners outcome, Thun is the favorite with odds of 1.25. Considering that both teams frequently exceed high corner totals, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Thun consistently delivers more corners, and Winterthur adds activity in certain matches, increasing the likelihood of hitting the high line.