Prediction for match Winterthur — Lausanne

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Super League match between Winterthur and Lausanne on May 9, the bookmakers have marked Lausanne as the favorite. The odds for a Lausanne win are set at 1.84, with Winterthur's victory at 3.72, and a draw at 3.92. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Winterthur win - 25.18%, draw - 23.90%, Lausanne win - 50.92%. These figures highlight Lausanne's advantage in the pre-match setup, but the odds on the totals are also worth noting. The odds for over 2.75 goals are 1.52, while under 2.5 is at 2.54, indicating a high likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Winterthur's last three matches were as follows: May 2 - Winterthur vs Zurich - 2:2, April 26 - Servette vs Winterthur - 5:3, April 11 - Winterthur vs Grasshopper - 0:2. Lausanne's last three games were: May 2 - Lausanne vs Luzern - 1:3, April 25 - Lausanne vs Zurich - 3:0, April 12 - Sion vs Lausanne - 3:0. In their last head-to-head on April 4, Lausanne defeated Winterthur 2-1. Additional metrics show Winterthur averages 51.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 1.2 offsides over a five-match period. Lausanne averages 47.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 0.2 offsides over the same span.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown high scoring in their last five matches: Winterthur's average total goals per match is 3.8, while Lausanne's is 3.4. For over 2.5 goals: Winterthur has 3 out of 5, and Lausanne has 5 out of 5. Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game, with Winterthur conceding 2.6 and Lausanne 2.2. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were seen 4 times out of 5 for Winterthur, and 3 out of 5 for Lausanne. In the second half, both teams have 3 occurrences of over 1.5 in 5 matches. For goal intervals, Winterthur most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Lausanne scores in three different intervals: 16-30, 46-60, and 61-75 (21% each). For goals conceded, Winterthur most often allows goals between 31-45 minutes (27%), while Lausanne concedes evenly at 25% across four intervals (31-45, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90). Given the high average scoring of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and support by halves, a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.52 seems logical.

Corner Bets

Winterthur averages 5 corners in the last five matches, Lausanne 4.6. For over 9.5 corners: Winterthur has 1 out of 5, Lausanne 3 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.11, under 9.5 is 1.70. When considering the outcome on corners, there is no clear favorite. Statistically, both teams can create a sufficient number of set-pieces, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for risk-takers. Also, note that Winterthur tends to take corners slightly more often, which may influence the match dynamics.