Prediction for match Zurich — Luzern, 14.02.2026

Match Analysis: Zurich vs. Luzern

In the Swiss Super League on February 14, 2026, Zurich will face Luzern. According to the 1X2 odds, Luzern's victory is priced at 2.57, Zurich's win at 2.74, and a draw is at 3.14. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Zurich - 34.03%, draw - 29.69%, Luzern - 36.28%. Luzern is the slight favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is minimal, reflecting a balance of power. For the over/under 2.5 goals market, over is at 1.58 and under is at 2.33, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game. Both teams to score: yes - 1.44, no - 2.60. For individual team totals: Zurich over 1.5 goals is at 2.05, Luzern over 1.5 goals is at 1.99. For total corners over 9.5, the odds are 1.51, under 9.5 is at 2.29.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Zurich has an average possession of 44.2%, with an average of 2.4 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Luzern has an average possession of 50.8%, 2.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Zurich's last three matches: February 11, 2026 - Zurich 3-0 Winterthur, February 8, 2026 - Basel 2-1 Zurich, February 1, 2026 - Young Boys 3-0 Zurich. Luzern's recent three matches: February 10, 2026 - Luzern 4-3 Grasshopper, February 7, 2026 - Sion 0-0 Luzern, February 1, 2026 - Luzern 2-2 St. Gallen. In their head-to-head on November 8, 2025, Zurich defeated Luzern 3-2.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Zurich vs. Luzern

In a five-match series, Zurich's average total goals are 3.6, while Luzern's are 4. Zurich had over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, and Luzern in 3 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, both teams played 3 out of 5 times, and for over 1.5 in the second half: Zurich - 4 out of 5, Luzern - 3 out of 5. Zurich's average goals scored are 1.6, Luzern's are 1.8, with both teams conceding a considerable amount: Zurich - 2, Luzern - 2.2. In terms of scoring intervals, Zurich most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (46%), Luzern also in the final minutes (76-90, 33%). For goals conceded: Zurich most often concedes between 16-30 minutes (33%), Luzern between 31-45 minutes (42%). The data on totals and average scoring of both teams, as well as frequent over 2.5 occurrences, suggest that betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.58 is the main option.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Zurich averages 4.6 corners, while Luzern averages 5, totaling 9.6 per match. In a five-game series, Zurich's total corners over 9.5 occurred 4 out of 5 times, Luzern 1 out of 5. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.51, under 9.5 is at 2.29. Zurich is the favorite in the corner outcome with odds of 1.96. It is logical to expect active wing play and frequent crosses, as confirmed by Zurich's frequent over 9.5 occurrences. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the recent match statistics.