Prediction for match Zurich — Thun

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Swiss Super League on March 21, Zurich will face Thun. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Thun is priced at 1.92, a draw at 3.40, and a victory for Zurich at 3.96. In terms of probability percentages, reflecting the balance of power, Thun has 48.79%, a draw stands at 27.55%, and Zurich at 23.66%. The most likely outcome according to the odds and percentages is a win for Thun, although the gap between a draw and a Zurich win is not large, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Zurich lost to Sion 1-2 (14.03.2026), to Servette 1-2 (07.03.2026), and to Lausanne 1-2 (04.03.2026). During the same period, Thun secured a big victory over Grasshopper 5-1 (14.03.2026), defeated Young Boys 2-1 (08.03.2026), and drew with St. Gallen 2-2 (05.03.2026). In their last head-to-head encounter on December 20, 2025, Thun was stronger than Zurich with a score of 4-2. On average, over the last five games, Zurich had 44.4% possession, committed 13.2 fouls, was caught offside 2.4 times, and received 2.2 yellow cards. Thun had 47.8% possession, 15.4 fouls, 2 offsides, and 2.2 yellow cards. These figures indicate a high level of activity from both teams in the contest for the ball and a fairly tough game.

Goal Scoring Trends

Both teams show a strong over-profile in terms of goals. In a five-match series, Zurich went over 2.5 goals 5 out of 5 times, and Thun did the same - 5 out of 5 over 2.5. Zurich's average total goals is exactly 3 per game, while Thun's is 3.8, indicating regular scoring. Zurich scores an average of 1 goal, conceding 2, while Thun is highly effective in attack - scoring 2.8 and conceding 1. By halves, Zurich had a productive second half in all five matches (5 out of 5 over 1.5), while Thun had 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second half. In the first half, Zurich had no matches over 1.5, while Thun had 2 out of 5. In terms of goal intervals, Zurich most frequently scores between 61-75 minutes (50%) and concedes in three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each). Thun most often scores in four different intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75 (20% each), and concedes mainly from 46 to 60 minutes (40%). All this data suggests the match should be high-scoring, with a focus on the second half. The main prediction is over 2.75 goals at 1.58.

Corners Totals Analysis

On average, Zurich delivered 4.6 corners over five matches, while Thun delivered 7.4. In a five-match series, both teams exceeded 9.5 corners in total 5 out of 5 times. When considering bets on corners, a high total is logical since both teams consistently deliver many corners. For a total of 11.5 corners, there is no pair of odds available, but it's noted that both teams tend to play attacking football, leading to a large number of set pieces. For individual corner totals, Zurich often stays within 5, while Thun consistently exceeds 5.5. In this situation, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified by the statistics, and an individual total for Thun over 5.5 can also be considered.