Prediction for match FCSB — Fenerbahce, 29.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Europa League on January 29, FCSB will face Fenerbahce. The Turkish club is the clear favorite according to the odds: Fenerbahce's win is priced at 1.57 with a probability of 62.82%. An FCSB victory is valued at 6.09 with a probability of 16.20%, while a draw is at 4.70 and 20.98%. Besides the outcomes, the line includes options for goal totals, both teams to score, and individual totals, allowing for bets tailored to different team styles. Goal total options range from Over 2.5 at 1.80 to Over 3.0 at 2.23, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.81. The initial odds reflect the bookmakers' confidence in Fenerbahce's advantage, but FCSB shouldn't be discounted, considering their attacking potential in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, FCSB has shown 61.2% ball possession, averaging 1.4 yellow cards per game, committing 11.4 fouls, and being caught offside 1.8 times. During the same period, Fenerbahce holds 57% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 11.2 fouls, and is caught offside twice per match. In their last three encounters, FCSB lost to CFR Cluj 1-4 (25.01.2026), lost to Dinamo Zagreb 1-4 (22.01.2026), and lost to Arges Pitesti 0-1 (16.01.2026). Fenerbahce recently drew with Goztepe 1-1 (25.01.2026), lost to Aston Villa 0-1 (22.01.2026), and defeated Alanyaspor 3-2 (18.01.2026). In a five-match series, FCSB and Fenerbahce display different dynamics in discipline and ball control, which could influence the game's pattern.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, FCSB's average total goals stand at 3.2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2 goals per game. Fenerbahce's average total goals are 2.4, scoring 1.6 and conceding just 0.8. For Over 2.5 goals, FCSB has 3 out of 5 matches over, while Fenerbahce has only 1 out of 5 over and 4 under. In the first half, both teams recorded 2 out of 5 over 1.5, while in the second half, FCSB has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Fenerbahce only 1 out of 5. FCSB most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (38%), and concedes in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (38% each). Fenerbahce is most productive also early in the game - 0-15 and 16-30 minutes (40% each), and concedes most often between 16-30 minutes (43%). This profile indicates that Fenerbahce is stable defensively, while FCSB tends to have productive endings. Considering both teams' average goal-scoring and FCSB's frequency of Over 2.5, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.80 seems justified: FCSB often plays high-scoring games, and Fenerbahce can maintain the pace.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On corners, FCSB averages 7.2 per match, and Fenerbahce 6.4. In a five-match series, FCSB has 3 out of 5 over 9.5, and Fenerbahce 4 out of 5 over 9.5. The total closest to the sum of average corners (13.6) is 9.5, with two outcomes: total corners over 9.5 - 1.86, under 9.5 - 1.84. The line also includes an outcome on corners: Fenerbahce's win is at 1.47. Given both teams' high activity in corner deliveries, it's logical to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5, and also note Fenerbahce's edge in the odds for a win on corners. This corner profile is confirmed by the average frequency of high totals in both teams' recent matches.