Prediction for match Fenerbahce — Gaziantep

Match Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Turkish Süper Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Gaziantep on 17.03.2026, bookmakers have Fenerbahce as the clear favorite: Fenerbahce win is at 1.20, draw at 7.48, and Gaziantep win at 15.00. The 1X2 probability percentages are: Fenerbahce - 80.62%, draw - 12.93%, Gaziantep - 6.45%. The odds for total goals and both teams to score also indicate Fenerbahce's advantage, with over 2.75 goals at 1.49, over 3.0 at 1.63, both teams to score: yes - 1.95, no - 1.76. For individual team totals: Fenerbahce over 2.5 goals is at 1.82, under 2.5 is at 1.88.

Team Results and Statistics

Fenerbahce's last three matches were: 13.03.2026 - Fatih Karagümrük 2-0 Fenerbahce, 08.03.2026 - Fenerbahce 3-2 Samsunspor, 01.03.2026 - Antalyaspor 2-2 Fenerbahce. Gaziantep's last three games were: 13.03.2026 - Antalyaspor 1-4 Gaziantep, 08.03.2026 - Gaziantep 1-1 Fatih Karagümrük, 01.03.2026 - Samsunspor 0-0 Gaziantep. In their last head-to-head on 04.03.2026, Gaziantep lost to Fenerbahce 0-4. Over the last five games, Fenerbahce averaged 60.8% possession, 1.6 bookings, 9 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Gaziantep averaged 44.4% possession, 3.2 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per game.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Fenerbahce had an average total goals per match of 3.2, while Gaziantep's was 2.6. Fenerbahce scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded the same, while Gaziantep scored 1.2 and conceded 1.4. Both teams had over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Fenerbahce had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 games and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Gaziantep had 1 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Fenerbahce most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), and Gaziantep also in the final stretch (76-90, 50%). Fenerbahce concedes most between the 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes (29% each), while Gaziantep concedes in the 16th-30th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th (29% each). Considering the frequent over 2.5 goals and high second-half activity, a high-scoring match is expected. The main prediction is over 2.75 goals at 1.49, though this is below the acceptable threshold. The next logical choice is over 3.0 goals at 1.63, aligning with both teams' goal profiles and totals.

Corner Totals Analysis

Fenerbahce averages 9.2 corners over the last five matches, Gaziantep 5.4. For total corners over 9.5: both teams had 3 out of 5 matches over. Available corner totals include over 9.5 at 1.61, under 9.5 at 2.09. Fenerbahce is the favorite for corners at 1.11. Considering the average combined corners (14.6), a bet on over 9.5 corners is justified. Also, Fenerbahce's individual corner total is consistently high.