Prediction for match Fenerbahce — Istanbul Basaksehir

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Turkish Süper Lig on May 2, Fenerbahce will face Istanbul Basaksehir. According to the 1X2 odds, Fenerbahce is the favorite with odds of 1.63 and a 59.44% chance of winning. A draw is set at 4.42, with a probability of 21.92%. Istanbul Basaksehir's victory is valued at 5.20, corresponding to an 18.63% chance. This setup reflects the bookmakers' confidence in Fenerbahce's advantage, considering their attacking power and consistency in recent games. The percentage difference between the teams is quite significant, which is also supported by their scoring statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Fenerbahce played as follows: 04/26/2026 - Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce - 3-0, 04/17/2026 - Fenerbahce vs Rizespor - 2-2, 04/11/2026 - Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce - 0-4. During the same period, Istanbul Basaksehir recorded: 04/24/2026 - Istanbul Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa - 4-0, 04/19/2026 - Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir - 1-1, 04/11/2026 - Istanbul Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi - 3-0. On average, over the last five games, Fenerbahce has 55.6% possession, commits 12 fouls, receives 2.4 yellow cards, and registers 1.6 offsides per game. Istanbul Basaksehir shows 60.2% possession, 12.6 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 12/06/2025, the teams drew 1-1, indicating a tight contest in their encounters.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Fenerbahce is showing attacking football: in their last five matches, they had four games with over 2.5 goals, and the average number of goals per match is 3.4. They score an average of 2.2 and concede 1.2. Istanbul Basaksehir, over the same period, had two matches with over 2.5 goals, with an average total of 1.8 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding only 0.2. In terms of halves, Fenerbahce had four out of five matches with over 1.5 goals in the second half, while only one went over 1.5 in the first half. Istanbul Basaksehir had two matches with over 1.5 goals in both halves over five games. Fenerbahce most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while they concede most between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). Istanbul Basaksehir's most frequent scoring intervals are 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), with all conceded goals coming in the final stretch (76-90, 100%). This profile suggests a high likelihood of both teams scoring, especially in the second half, as supported by the both teams to score odds: yes - 1.53. Both teams look convincing in attack, and while Istanbul Basaksehir's defense has been nearly flawless in recent matches, given Fenerbahce's average goals and frequency of over 2.5 goals, a bet on both teams to score: yes seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

In the last five matches, Fenerbahce averages 7.4 corners, while Istanbul Basaksehir averages 5. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Fenerbahce has four out of five matches, and Istanbul Basaksehir has one. The corner totals market closest to the sum of average figures (12.4) is the 12.5 line, though only totals up to 9.5 are offered in the odds. For the 9.5 total, both outcomes are available: over 9.5 - 1.53, under 9.5 - 2.34. While Fenerbahce's corner win isn't separately quoted, the team significantly surpasses their opponent in average corners. Considering the attacking style of both teams and Fenerbahce's frequency of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems reasonable.