Prediction for match Fenerbahce — Rizespor

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Turkish Süper Lig on April 17, Fenerbahce will face Rizespor. According to the bookmakers, Fenerbahce is the clear favorite with odds of 1.34 for their victory, a draw is at 5.79, and a win for Rizespor is rated at 8.85. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 72.31% for a Fenerbahce win, 16.74% for a draw, and 10.95% for a Rizespor victory. This distribution reflects confidence in Fenerbahce's superiority, but Rizespor could still spring a surprise, considering their recent results.

Team Recent Match Overview

Fenerbahce has shown high intensity over the last 5 games, with an average possession of 60.8%, 2.2 yellow cards per match, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Rizespor, during the same period, shows 51.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Fenerbahce defeated Kayserispor 4-0 (11.04.2026), won against Besiktas 1-0 (05.04.2026), and thrashed Gaziantep 4-1 (17.03.2026). Rizespor beat Gaziantep 2-1 (13.04.2026), Samsunspor 4-1 (09.04.2026), and lost to Fatih Karagümrük 1-2 (05.04.2026). The last head-to-head encounter on 23.11.2025 ended with a 5-2 victory for Fenerbahce at Rizespor's ground.

Teams' Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring, Fenerbahce has an average total of 3.4 goals in their last five matches, scoring 2.4 on average and conceding 1. Rizespor has an average total of 2.6, with 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded. In 3 out of 5 matches for both teams, the total was over 2.5 goals. For Fenerbahce, the total over 1.5 in the second half occurred 3 times out of 5, and in the first half 2 times. For Rizespor, the same stat is 3 out of 5 for over 2.5, with over 1.5 in the second half 3 times, and once in the first half. Fenerbahce most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), while Rizespor scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (40%). Fenerbahce concedes most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (29%), while Rizespor has three equal intervals of 33%: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes. This goal profile and total occurrences indicate a high probability of a high-scoring match, with average goal rates and frequent over 2.5 totals supporting a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.48.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Fenerbahce averages 9.4 corners per match, while Rizespor averages 4.4. In the last 5 games, Fenerbahce's total corners exceeded 9.5 on 4 occasions, and Rizespor's on 2 occasions. The closest sum of averages is 13.8, but only lower options are available in the line. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.34, and under 9.5 are 2.95. Based on this statistic, it makes sense to consider the over 9.5 option, given Fenerbahce's consistent corner production and frequent occurrences of this total in their matches. It's also worth noting that Fenerbahce consistently creates many chances, leading to a high number of corners. Rizespor falls short in this aspect, but matches involving both teams usually feature plenty of corners.