Prediction for match Fenerbahce — Samsunspor, 06.01.2026

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Turkish Super Cup on January 6, 2026, Fenerbahce will face Samsunspor. The odds for the outcomes are: Fenerbahce win at 1.57, draw at 4.00, and Samsunspor win at 5.54. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Fenerbahce - 59.67%, draw - 23.42%, Samsunspor - 16.91%. Fenerbahce is considered the favorite in this matchup, which is reflected in both the odds and the probabilities. Samsunspor is seen as the underdog, with a draw being considered a less likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

Fenerbahce has shown strong results in their last three matches: December 20 - Eyupspor 0-3 Fenerbahce, December 15 - Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor, December 11 - Brann 0-4 Fenerbahce. In the same period, Samsunspor has struggled: December 21 - Goztepe 2-0 Samsunspor, December 18 - Mainz 05 2-0 Samsunspor, December 14 - Samsunspor 0-2 Istanbul Basaksehir. On average over five matches, Fenerbahce has 56.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Samsunspor averages 53.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on October 5, 2025, the match ended Samsunspor 0-0 Fenerbahce.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Fenerbahce averages a total of 3 goals per match, scoring 2.6 and conceding 0.4 per game. Samsunspor lags behind with an average of 2.8 goals, scoring only 0.6 and conceding 2.2. Fenerbahce has gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Samsunspor has done so in 2 of 5. In the first half, Fenerbahce exceeded 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches, compared to Samsunspor's 1 of 5. In the second half, Fenerbahce exceeded 1.5 goals in only 1 of 5 matches, whereas Samsunspor did so in 3 of 5. Fenerbahce most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Samsunspor scores between the 0-15 and 16-30 minute intervals (25% each). Fenerbahce is most vulnerable to conceding between the 31-45 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each), while Samsunspor is vulnerable between the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Given Fenerbahce's high scoring rate and Samsunspor's weak defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.78 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Fenerbahce averages 6.8 corners per match, while Samsunspor averages 4.6. Fenerbahce has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared to Samsunspor's 1 of 5. The closest total to their average is 11.5, but the line offers a total of 9.5: over 9.5 corners - odds not specified, under 9.5 - odds not specified. Statistically, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, considering Fenerbahce's activity in this aspect. Fenerbahce also regularly wins the corner count, as confirmed by their average over the last five matches.