Prediction for match Ferroviária — Atletico Paranaense, 16.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie B on November 16, Ferroviária will face Atletico Paranaense. The odds favor Atletico Paranaense as the favorite, with their victory priced at 1.91, a draw at 3.30, and a win for Ferroviária at 4.20. The probability percentages for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Ferroviária win - 22.36%, draw - 28.46%, Atletico Paranaense win - 49.18%. Atletico Paranaense has almost twice the chance of winning compared to their opponent, but a draw is also considered quite likely.

Team Statistics and Scores

In terms of ball possession over a five-match period, Ferroviária averages 50.2%, while Atletico Paranaense has 53.6%. Ferroviária's averages over 5 matches are: 2.6 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides, while Atletico Paranaense has 1.8 yellows, 15.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Ferroviária's last three matches resulted in: 07.11 Athletic - Ferroviária 2-1, 01.11 Ferroviária - Criciúma 0-0, 26.10 Vila Nova - Ferroviária 2-2. Atletico Paranaense played as follows: 08.11 Atletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda 2-0, 01.11 Goiás - Atletico Paranaense 0-1, 28.10 Atletico Paranaense - Amazonas 2-0. In their head-to-head on 22.07, Atletico Paranaense and Ferroviária drew 1-1 - the total of 2.5 was not exceeded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 games, Ferroviária often delivered high-scoring matches: over 2.5 goals happened 4 times out of 5, and over 1.5 in the first half also 4 times. However, in the second halves, both teams recorded 0 out of 5 for over 1.5. Atletico Paranaense, on the other hand, is on a clear under streak: 0 out of 5 for over 2.5, 0 out of 5 in the first and second halves for over 1.5. On average over a five-match period, Ferroviária scores 3 goals per game, while Atletico Paranaense scores 1.4. Ferroviária's scoring rate is 1.4, conceding 1.6, while Atletico Paranaense scores 1.2 and concedes only 0.2. Regarding goal intervals: Ferroviária most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (38%) and between 31-45 (38%), while Atletico Paranaense scores between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (40% each). Goals conceded by Ferroviária mostly occur between 31-45 (57%), and for Atletico Paranaense between 16-30 and 46-60 (50% each). Considering Atletico Paranaense's trend for low-scoring games and the visitors' strong defense, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Ferroviária averages 4.2 corners over 5 matches, while Atletico Paranaense averages 5.2. For the frequency of totals over 9.5 corners: Ferroviária achieved this 2 times out of 5, and Atletico Paranaense 3 times out of 5. The main corners total: over 10.5 is priced at 2.10, under 10.5 at 1.67. For the outcome on corners, Atletico Paranaense is the favorite with odds of 1.57. Considering the average figures of both teams, a bet on under 10.5 corners at 1.67 looks balanced, although the visitors have a slightly higher average.