Prediction for match Finland — Lithuania

Match Analysis of Finland - Lithuania

On October 9, 2025, a World Cup qualifier will take place between Finland and Lithuania. The odds for the main outcomes clearly favour Finland: 1.50 for its victory, 4.10 for a draw, and 6.50 for Lithuania. Finland's chances of success are estimated at 62,63%, a tie - at 22,91%, while Lithuania's chances stand at 14,45%. Such a spread of coefficients and percentages indicates high confidence in Finland as the favourite in this matchup.

Results and statistics of the teams

The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar in terms of results: Finland and Lithuania score on average one goal per game, with Finland conceding 1,8 and Lithuania 2,2. The average number of goals per match is 2,8 for Finland and 3,2 for Lithuania. In terms of corners, Finland earns 2,4, Lithuania - 2. Lithuania has the most yellow cards - 2,6 against 1 for Finland. In their last head-to-head meeting on March 24, 2025, the teams played to a 2-2 draw. From the examples of recent matches: On September 7, Finland lost to Poland 1-3, while Lithuania lost to Netherlands 2-3. Both teams show unstable results in a series of five matches, but the total number of goals remains above average in the sample.

How many goals to expect?

Based on totals for the last five matches, both teams had Over 2.5 in 3 out of 5 cases. Also, in the first half, Over 1.5 was recorded for both teams in 3 out of 5 instances. Second halves are less productive: only 2 out of 5 on Over 1.5. Average goal stats: 2.8 for Finland, 3.2 for Lithuania, highlighting the tendency towards high-scoring matches. If we consider intervals, both Finland (38%) and Lithuania (30%) most often score in the 31-45 minute intervals. Finland most often concedes in the first 30 minutes (33% in both timeframes), Lithuania - in the first 15 minutes (33%).

Analysis of corner totals

Finland executes an average of 2,4 corners per game, Lithuania - 2, which are relatively low values. The total number of corners over 9,5 occurred in 1 out of 5 matches for both teams. The odds are 1.80 for corners over 8.5, and 2.00 for less than 8.5. It should also be noted that Finland is the favourite for the corner outcome with a coefficient of 1.30.